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To: BeauBo

Back of envelope estimate ( but from a good guy) of 11% new Delta spread.
https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1410376357960318976
Interesting: “sequence data suggests Rt of Delta variant of 1.18 “
I assume the low Rt (not R0) is from “wall” of vaxxed and prev infected.


7 posted on 07/01/2021 12:45:25 PM PDT by mrsmith (US MEDIA: " Every 'White' cop is a criminal! And all the 'non-white' criminals saints!")
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To: mrsmith

Some more good news. Shockingly, it seems one of the favorite Quacksters favorite predictions of needing a “software upgrade” every few months to a year depending on their level of delusion is wrong.

https://www.popsci.com/health/mrna-vaccine-immunity/


11 posted on 07/01/2021 1:43:51 PM PDT by phoneman08 (qwiyrqweopigradfdz oncm,.dadfjl,dz )
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To: mrsmith; arkfreepdom
"Back of envelope estimate (but from a good guy) of 11% (of the US Population - 36 Million) new Delta spread. https://twitter.com/trvrb/status/1410376357960318976"

Seems like he is estimating a wave from Delta about half as big as last Winter's wave (30-something Million vs. 65 Million).

It might vary in other ways as well. My speculation: possibly lower fatality rate, possibly a faster peak.

Arkansas is mow one of the leading States for the Delta variant, as a percentage of new Cases, along with Missouri, Utah and Colorado. Like Los Angeles, it is already the dominant strain there. From your link:


18 posted on 07/01/2021 2:53:49 PM PDT by BeauBo
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