Seems like he is estimating a wave from Delta about half as big as last Winter's wave (30-something Million vs. 65 Million).
It might vary in other ways as well. My speculation: possibly lower fatality rate, possibly a faster peak.
Arkansas is mow one of the leading States for the Delta variant, as a percentage of new Cases, along with Missouri, Utah and Colorado. Like Los Angeles, it is already the dominant strain there. From your link:
My hospitalizations aren’t changing/increasing yet so suspect it’s younger. My personal cases are younger and not needing hospitalizations. All unvaccinated so far. Not sure of the variant.
Interesting fellow.
https://twitter.com/BallouxFrancois
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Prof Francois Balloux
@BallouxFrancois
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8h
Interesting study on long-COVID in Swiss children (6-16) with mild infection, with a twist. The children were randomly selected.
Key result: “Seropositive children did NOT report long-COVID more frequently than seronegative children.” “
Quite a few interesting tweets there.
