“That doesn’t look correct for several reasons.”
I tend to give greater weight to the opinion of airline pilots as to what “looks correct”. Feel free to tell me why you think you are better informed than they are.
1) “you’d think they’d have rotated pilots in and out to keep as many possible qualified.”
Airlines didn’t take your advice. They riffed pilots.
2) “Why would they bother scheduling flights if they knew they didn’t have enough pilots for them? “
They don’t do that. But they do have no margin for error and can’t cover normal events that keep pilots from being able to cover a shift.
3) “The uptick in cancellations is recent, sudden, and monotonic.”
The pilot shortage is recent. The ripple effect of last years riffing.
4) “Your reason is one of several disjoint explanations all being shoved forward at the same time”
It’s not “my reason”. It’s what two first seaters tell me. How many airline captains do you speak to on a routine basis?
5) “But if a few pilots died after the jab (both being a pilot and receiving the jab increase the risk for DVT / abnormal blood clots), then word probably got out PRONTO among the pilots. Alternatively, maybe the insurance companies underwriting the airlines are demanding all pilots get thoroughly checked before being allowed to fly again,”
lol. “if” “probably” “Alternatively, maybe” There’s certainty for you. Have you considered a career in fiction writing?
6) “Finally, PR dictates that the airlines want to keep any HINT of this out of the public consciousness so that people don’t stampede away from flying in fear of a pilot having a stroke.”
If you think that pilots serve as PR flacks for their airlines it’s because you don’t know any.
Then why the 500% increase all of a sudden? Did the number of scheduled flights for all airlines all over the world suddenly jump all at the same time? And why did the number of cancelled flights increase monotonically?
They don’t do that. But they do have no margin for error and can’t cover normal events that keep pilots from being able to cover a shift.
That doesn't explain the spike, nor the monotonic increase. The pilot shortage is recent. The ripple effect of last years riffing.
Still doesn't explain the sudden increase in cancellations.
It’s not “my reason”. It’s what two first seaters tell me. How many airline captains do you speak to on a routine basis?
None. But I've seen lots of doctors saying they were threatened, and read news articles of doctors losing their academic positions, for not spewing the party line on Ivermectin or on COVID/jabs. So why should airline pilots be exempt?
lol. “if” “probably” “Alternatively, maybe” There’s certainty for you. Have you considered a career in fiction writing?
That's funny, other trolls on these threads said I was given to hysteria and toxoplasmosis. You trolls can't even keep your insults straight.
If you think that pilots serve as PR flacks for their airlines it’s because you don’t know any.
It's spokespeople for the airlines putting out the "bad weather" cover story. The pilots are blowing the whistle on that cover story.