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How an AI Tool Distinguishes Between a Conspiracy Theory and a True Conspiracy
nextgov.com ^ | November 24, 2020 | Timothy R. Tangherlini,

Posted on 11/25/2020 3:28:32 PM PST by ransomnote

The audio on the otherwise shaky body camera footage is unusually clear. As police officers search a handcuffed man who moments before had fired a shot inside a pizza parlor, an officer asks him why he was there. The man says to investigate a pedophile ring. Incredulous, the officer asks again. Another officer chimes in, “Pizzagate. He’s talking about Pizzagate.”

In that brief, chilling interaction in 2016, it becomes clear that conspiracy theories, long relegated to the fringes of society, had moved into the real world in a very dangerous way.

Conspiracy theories, which have the potential to cause significant harm, have found a welcome home on social media, where forums free from moderation allow like-minded individuals to converse. There they can develop their theories and propose actions to counteract the threats they “uncover.”

But how can you tell if an emerging narrative on social media is an unfounded conspiracy theory? It turns out that it’s possible to distinguish between conspiracy theories and true conspiracies by using machine learning tools to graph the elements and connections of a narrative. These tools could form the basis of an early warning system to alert authorities to online narratives that pose a threat in the real world.

The culture analytics group at the University of California, which I and Vwani Roychowdhury lead, has developed an automated approach to determining when conversations on social media reflect the telltale signs of conspiracy theorizing. We have applied these methods successfully to the study of Pizzagate, the COVID-19 pandemic and anti-vaccination movements. We’re currently using these methods to study QAnon.

While the popular image of the conspiracy theorist is of a lone wolf piecing together puzzling connections with photographs and red string, that image no longer applies in the age of social media. Conspiracy theorizing has moved online and is now the end-product of a collective storytelling. The participants work out the parameters of a narrative framework: the people, places and things of a story and their relationships.

The online nature of conspiracy theorizing provides an opportunity for researchers to trace the development of these theories from their origins as a series of often disjointed rumors and story pieces to a comprehensive narrative. For our work, Pizzagate presented the perfect subject.

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TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: ai; conspiracy
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To: cgbg

Kind of been done before aka The Flood


21 posted on 11/25/2020 9:12:14 PM PST by Long Jon No Silver
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To: ransomnote

GIGO.🤔


22 posted on 11/25/2020 10:00:56 PM PST by BiteYourSelf ( Earth first we'll strip mine the other planets later.)
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To: Steve_Seattle

This reminds me of a company I once saw that was claiming to use AI and data mining to be able to predict terrorist events around the world. They had a very fancy sales pitch. They were based in Las Vegas... so I asked their Twitter account why they didn’t tell us about the upcoming Vegas shooting... never got a response. Probably because the shooter wasn’t walking around in a Maga hat....lol


23 posted on 11/26/2020 8:57:35 PM PST by willyd (I for one welcome our NSA overlords)
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