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How an AI Tool Distinguishes Between a Conspiracy Theory and a True Conspiracy
nextgov.com ^ | November 24, 2020 | Timothy R. Tangherlini,

Posted on 11/25/2020 3:28:32 PM PST by ransomnote

The audio on the otherwise shaky body camera footage is unusually clear. As police officers search a handcuffed man who moments before had fired a shot inside a pizza parlor, an officer asks him why he was there. The man says to investigate a pedophile ring. Incredulous, the officer asks again. Another officer chimes in, “Pizzagate. He’s talking about Pizzagate.”

In that brief, chilling interaction in 2016, it becomes clear that conspiracy theories, long relegated to the fringes of society, had moved into the real world in a very dangerous way.

Conspiracy theories, which have the potential to cause significant harm, have found a welcome home on social media, where forums free from moderation allow like-minded individuals to converse. There they can develop their theories and propose actions to counteract the threats they “uncover.”

But how can you tell if an emerging narrative on social media is an unfounded conspiracy theory? It turns out that it’s possible to distinguish between conspiracy theories and true conspiracies by using machine learning tools to graph the elements and connections of a narrative. These tools could form the basis of an early warning system to alert authorities to online narratives that pose a threat in the real world.

The culture analytics group at the University of California, which I and Vwani Roychowdhury lead, has developed an automated approach to determining when conversations on social media reflect the telltale signs of conspiracy theorizing. We have applied these methods successfully to the study of Pizzagate, the COVID-19 pandemic and anti-vaccination movements. We’re currently using these methods to study QAnon.

While the popular image of the conspiracy theorist is of a lone wolf piecing together puzzling connections with photographs and red string, that image no longer applies in the age of social media. Conspiracy theorizing has moved online and is now the end-product of a collective storytelling. The participants work out the parameters of a narrative framework: the people, places and things of a story and their relationships.

The online nature of conspiracy theorizing provides an opportunity for researchers to trace the development of these theories from their origins as a series of often disjointed rumors and story pieces to a comprehensive narrative. For our work, Pizzagate presented the perfect subject.

MORE AT LINK


TOPICS: Miscellaneous
KEYWORDS: ai; conspiracy
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Those who create the logical rules for AI to follow control the decisions the AI makes.

It's not like the fed a purely objective set of rules into the AI.

ALL YOUR THEORIES ARE BELONG TO US!

1 posted on 11/25/2020 3:28:32 PM PST by ransomnote
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To: ransomnote
Depends on the Author's politics.......

Libs get to fly if they don't believe in gravity......

2 posted on 11/25/2020 3:32:05 PM PST by G Larry (There is no merit in compromising with the Devil.)
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To: ransomnote

Sounds like he invented a Dominion Machine to investigate conspiracy theories.


3 posted on 11/25/2020 3:32:08 PM PST by Balding_Eagle ( The Great Wall of Trump ---- 100% sealing of the border. Coming soon. )
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To: ransomnote

So, they found ONE instance of a man overreacting to the “Pizzagate” conspiracy theory, but they will ignore the fact that the entire news media was taken in by the Russia collusion conspiracy theory, and that a special counsel was brought in to waste millions investigating it, and that the whole country was distracted by it for two years. THAT doesn’t count as a conspiracy theory in their eyes.


4 posted on 11/25/2020 3:34:38 PM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: ransomnote

Artificial Stupidity


5 posted on 11/25/2020 3:35:12 PM PST by Long Jon No Silver
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To: ransomnote

Artificial intelligence is always inferior to the intelligence of human beings.


6 posted on 11/25/2020 3:36:11 PM PST by reasonisfaith (What are the implications if the Resurrection of Christ is a true event in history?)
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To: ransomnote

Just wondering if they looked into the origins of the motivation behind the Scalise shooter? Didn’t think so.


7 posted on 11/25/2020 3:36:25 PM PST by Steve_Seattle
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To: ransomnote

Apply the logic of the author to those who believed (and still believe) the Russian collusion delusion. 40 million dollars later with the full force of the government they found no evidence, yet many still believe it to be true.

Ironic.


8 posted on 11/25/2020 3:51:01 PM PST by volunbeer (Find the truth and accept it - anything else is delusional)
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To: G Larry

Briefly, anyway.

/splat


9 posted on 11/25/2020 3:58:58 PM PST by Salamander (Call them by their true name: Pedocrats.)
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To: Long Jon No Silver
Artificial Stupidity

I am stunned at just how stupid the Silicon Valley types are--there is no way they can program anything but artificial stupidity.

The best way to get real scientific progress has always been to wait for the old scientists to die.

After that happens and some young creative thinkers start working the problem, I believe AI will be a real threat at some point--as soon as it reaches actual critical thinking ability, it will be totally disgusted with humans and do away with us as soon as is practical.
10 posted on 11/25/2020 4:09:39 PM PST by cgbg ( Remember 1876--we _can_ do this!--Biden--Office of the Prisoner-Elect)
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To: ransomnote
...an officer asks him why he was there. The man says to investigate a pedophile ring. Incredulous, the officer asks again. Another officer chimes in, “Pizzagate. He’s talking about Pizzagate.”

You can't ask for a clearer example of someone who is awake (or at least aware) and someone who is asleep.

11 posted on 11/25/2020 4:15:36 PM PST by philman_36 (Pride breakfasted with plenty, dined with poverty and supped with infamy. Benjamin Franklin)
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To: ransomnote
But how can you tell if an emerging narrative on social media is an unfounded conspiracy theory?

You mean like the Russian collusion conspiracy theory?

12 posted on 11/25/2020 4:21:27 PM PST by BenLurkin (The above is not a statement of fact. It is either opinion or satire. Or both.)
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To: Steve_Seattle

“...they will ignore the fact that the entire news media was taken in by the Russia collusion conspiracy theory,”

They were not “taken in.” They knew they were lying for the greater good.


13 posted on 11/25/2020 4:27:19 PM PST by ModelBreaker
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To: ransomnote

Agreed.


14 posted on 11/25/2020 4:54:34 PM PST by tbw2
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To: ransomnote

Maybe Google A.I.?? /s


15 posted on 11/25/2020 5:36:50 PM PST by SuperLuminal (Where is Sam Adams now that we desperately need him)
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To: ransomnote

Russia Russia Russia Ukraine Ukraine Ukraine Covid Covid Covid

Trust but verify


16 posted on 11/25/2020 5:38:10 PM PST by petitfour (APPEAL TO HEAVEN)
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To: ransomnote

All investigations of conspiracies/crimes begin with a theory...

Not sure when it started, but demonizing “conspiracy theories” is just another way for Liberals and Progs to divert attention away from their illegal acts.


17 posted on 11/25/2020 5:40:47 PM PST by Hypo2
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To: Whenifhow; null and void; aragorn; EnigmaticAnomaly; kalee; Kale; AZ .44 MAG; Baynative; bgill; ...

p


18 posted on 11/25/2020 5:52:50 PM PST by bitt (The left gave us 4 years of Pearl Harbor. Now its time to give them Hiroshima.)
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To: ransomnote

If MSM calls it debunked, without evidence, or baseless, it is true.


19 posted on 11/25/2020 6:01:42 PM PST by MNDude
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To: ransomnote
Those who create the logical rules for AI to follow control the decisions the AI makes.

Exactly. It is "artificial" to consider it an "intelligence".

20 posted on 11/25/2020 7:49:25 PM PST by AndyTheBear
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