Just like I predicted. Apparently the way I ran those numbers last night were valid. I predicted 30k to 40k advantage to Trump.
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Good numbers crunching - That’s what Barris said last night too.
My technique was simple:
- I took the undecided votes, and apportioned them out according to the ratio of D to R in that county. I could have been more accurate by going down the the precinct level, but that would have taken a whole day of number crunching.
- I only looked at the most populous counties, and only those who had more than a 50ish-50ish split. Cobb, for example, was 52/48 or some such number. Ignored that one. Gwinnett was 97% counted, any uncounted would be a trivial number.
- I then added that famous John Zogby Secret Sauce, and threw another 30,000 to Democrats to account for all the little counties and precincts cheats.
I ended up almost dead-on.
It is only possible in Georgia because our voting system is relatively safe and secure. My numbers wouldn’t have worked in Michigan, for example, where dumps of 100% Biden votes were happening.