And from Ace’s analyzer...
WI - The 170k ballots being counted. Biden has to win 142k of them to overcome Trump’s lead. We could head to a recount, but Trump should win even with that.
MI - 300K lead and Wayne county is already in. This should be declared for Trump at noon. There is no coming back from that far down.
PA - Almost a 700K lead. Philly doesn’t have the votes since 25% of the vote was already in. They would need another 1.2 million ballots to overcome this lead. I don’t think they’ve got them.
AZ - I’m not convinced Biden won. The counts we saw at the start had no votes from today, so let’s see.
NC - mathematically impossible to overcome the lead.
GA - The will try, but even with a recount Trump’s lead is to big.
NV - Could break Trump, haven’t anything about it for hours while I tried to sleep.
I think Trump is at 294 EVs when this is done. Maybe as much as 315.
We’ll see how it plays out. My analysis of the race from an actual vote standpoint is looking pretty close right now. No we see what the Dems can do with fake votes.
Posted by: Dave in Fla at November 04, 2020 02:56 AM
Encouraging
I’d like to know exactly why people started shifting George to Biden so late in the night. On Newsmax, they were quoting numbers from the New York Times that said with 91% of the vote in, much of Fulton and Dekalb counties, both strong Dem strongholds, hadn’t been counted yet. But even as they were saying this they had a graphic on their screen that had Trump 51% to Biden 48%, with 99% of the vote counted. I was scratching my head wondering what was up with that. Finally after about 5 minutes of doom and gloom from the panel, one of them noticed that their own graphic was showing a completely different story from the NY Times article. They said, huh, interesting, but then just moved on, never bothering to find out which numbers were the right ones.
ThankQ !!!
grey_whiskers wrote:
“And from Ace’s analyzer...
WI - The 170k ballots being counted. Biden has to win 142k of them to overcome Trump’s lead. We could head to a recount, but Trump should win even with that.
MI - 300K lead and Wayne county is already in. This should be declared for Trump at noon. There is no coming back from that far down.
PA - Almost a 700K lead. Philly doesn’t have the votes since 25% of the vote was already in. They would need another 1.2 million ballots to overcome this lead. I don’t think they’ve got them.
AZ - I’m not convinced Biden won. The counts we saw at the start had no votes from today, so let’s see.
NC - mathematically impossible to overcome the lead.
GA - The will try, but even with a recount Trump’s lead is to big.
NV - Could break Trump, haven’t anything about it for hours while I tried to sleep.
I think Trump is at 294 EVs when this is done. Maybe as much as 315.
We’ll see how it plays out. My analysis of the race from an actual vote standpoint is looking pretty close right now. No we see what the Dems can do with fake votes.
Posted by: Dave in Fla at November 04, 2020 02:56 AM”