I said a few days ago as the early voting trends started showing a red wave, that Trump would probably target VA just to rub the deep state’s nose in it.
So the number of people on FR who think VA is in play has now doubled. Excellent!!
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Here’s why I think VA will be close.
1) Both campaigns are ignoring it. Republicans show up without attention. Democrats base voters need inspiration to show up.
2) VA Dems have been told that Biden will win nationally by 10 points. There is no sense of urgency.
3) The gun-grab and liberal abortion grab, among other things, has activated the 2/3 of the state that are more traditional.
4) The black vote is not showing up in the numbers Dems need to feel highly confident.
5) The school closures in NOVA are pissing moms off, and they are starting to catch on that this is political and not about safety.
6) Maryland had a similar experience in 2014, when fat-bastard Larry Hogan won a shocking win in Maryland. The rank and file voter had enough of Democrats in the state. I think we might see another Maryland/2014 shocker.
I’m giving Trump a 35% chance of winning VA.
Trump will need to pick up a few states like VA, NH, NV to claim victory by Nov 5/6. Looks like OH, NC, PA, IA won’t finish counting for a week or more.
So is there a legal gun owner in Virginia who won’t vote or won’t vote for Trump? I doubt it. I also think it is perfectly reasonable that Trump will pull 15% of the black vote and if that were to hold up everywhere there are even more states in play.
I’m telling ya... we’re taking VA.