Bongino was saying this was a base election, not a normal ‘sway the middle’ election.
I tend to agree. Everyone is polarized about Trump. I have seen fellow quite-liberal teachers around me admit they may vote Trump just because 2017-2019 memories of tax refunds that were significantly higher. If they admit they might vote Trump, that means they’re most definitely secretly voting Trump.
Furthermore Trump split off some base D votes by getting Biden to swat away Bernie and the idea that Antifa is a threat. There are plenty of urban voters that have seen it firsthand and disagree strongly.
Independent voters are bandwagon voters. They are witnessing all of this enthusiasm for Trump - the parades, the rallies, etc. and many of them will vote for Trump.
If every Republican would have just ran as constitutional conservatives, there wouldn't be a Democrat Party today. There would be a conservative Christian wing of the GOP vs the populist libertarian wing.