I agree with this and will add...
At the start Trump went for the democrat vote.
Alot walk away in 2016 and a lot of those voted for Trump
because the left went so far (bathrooms)
and turned off their voters.
New voter voting for Trump = 1 vote for Trump
Old dem voting Trump is -1 for DNC and +1 for Trump
It’s like 2 votes.
Trumps job performance has exceeded expectations.
More dems will be voting for Trump 2020
You’re right. Trump is stealing away a lot of Democrats. And his numbers with blacks and Hispanics is off the charts for a Republican. But the main difference between a Trump supporter and a Biden supporter is enthusiasm. Those who support Trump tend to REALLY support Trump - enough to make it likely they’ll show up at the voting booth. Those who support Biden are, on the whole, less enthusiastic. A large number of Biden ‘supporters’, are less than thrilled with their chosen candidate and are more likely than a Trump supporter to sit this one out.
Trump’s main strategy last night was to drive a wedge between Biden and the radical left of the Democrat party, who are already less than thrilled with a Biden candidacy. Towards that end, he was successful - making it more likely that a good portion of them just won’t bother to vote this time around.