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Trump scores gains in Miami-Dade, hurting Biden’s odds in Florida
TampaBay.com ^ | 9/8/2020 | David Smiley

Posted on 09/12/2020 6:49:04 PM PDT by simpson96

Four years after getting trounced in Miami-Dade County by Hillary Clinton, President Donald Trump has increased his odds of victory in his must-win home state on Nov. 3 by improving his standing in Florida’s most populous county, according to a poll by Bendixen & Amandi International and the Miami Herald.

The poll of 500 likely Miami-Dade voters, released Tuesday, found Trump far behind Democratic presidential nominee Joe Biden 38 percent to 55 percent in Miami-Dade, where Democrats typically need to run up the score in order to compete in statewide races.

That 17-point deficit is well outside the poll’s 4.4 percentage point margin of error. But Trump doesn’t need to win Miami-Dade. He just needs to do better in the Democratic-leaning county to offset possible losses in other parts of Florida.

In 2016, he lost Miami-Dade to Hillary Clinton by 30 points — about 290,000 votes — but won the state by 1.2 percent of the total vote.

“If you’re the Biden campaign, looking at these numbers, I think there’s reason for pause,” said Fernand Amandi, the Miami-based pollster and Democratic strategist behind the poll. “If Biden under-performs in what should be one of his strongest counties — and is certainly the largest county for Democratic votes in the state of Florida — it might imperil his chances of winning Florida unless there is a massive white voter exodus from Trump in other parts of the state.”

(Excerpt) Read more at tampabay.com ...


TOPICS: Chit/Chat
KEYWORDS: biden; whoops

1 posted on 09/12/2020 6:49:04 PM PDT by simpson96
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To: All

Well, at least Biden can hold out hope for a million Hanging Chads, Pregnant Chads and Intended but not noticeable Chads in Broward County And 600 lawyers to argue over each one of them for him.


2 posted on 09/12/2020 7:00:27 PM PDT by LegendHasIt
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“Florida unless there is a massive white voter exodus from Trump in other parts of the state”

Not bloody likely


3 posted on 09/12/2020 7:01:50 PM PDT by dsrtsage (Complexity is merely simplicity lacking imagination)
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To: simpson96

More riots = more votes for PDJT. Bottom line.


4 posted on 09/12/2020 7:19:27 PM PDT by elcid1970 ("Pres. Trump doesn't wear glasses. That's because he's got 2020.")
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To: simpson96

He has tiny feet.


5 posted on 09/12/2020 7:27:13 PM PDT by Salamander (The left screams out in pain as they stab you.)
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To: simpson96

The only state that worries me in any way is PA. Not because Trump isn’t winning big on the ground. But massive mail vote fraud is a real possibility.


6 posted on 09/12/2020 7:28:21 PM PDT by HamiltonJay
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To: simpson96

Soon biden will be pulling ads/funding from Florida if he is realistic


7 posted on 09/12/2020 8:00:58 PM PDT by italianquaker
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To: All

Excellent news!

I still worry about Broward and Palm Beach Counties given the crap that has happened in their elections.

Hopefully all of the soccer moms in counties like Duval, Orange, Pasco, Seminole, etc are good and scared at all the rioting they’ve seen on TV and vote accordingly this November.


8 posted on 09/12/2020 8:52:11 PM PDT by MplsSteve
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To: simpson96
“If Biden under-performs in what should be one of his strongest counties ...

Biden called it quits for the day 14 hours ago. Trump was going strong at midnight. If Biden under-performs? Does he even perform?

Trump is going to kick his ass.

9 posted on 09/12/2020 9:12:32 PM PDT by ConservativeInPA ("War is peace. Freedom is slavery. Ignorance is strength." - George Orwell, 1984)
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To: simpson96

Given that the Democratic Party has been mostly all about “black lives matter” for months, I wonder how hispanics (who can be of any race) feel about being neglected by the left?


10 posted on 09/13/2020 1:54:32 AM PDT by PghBaldy (12/14 - 930am -rampage begins... 12/15 - 1030am - Obama's advance team scouts photo-op locations.)
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To: HamiltonJay

You’re right to be worried about Pa. Last week my mailman told me he delivered six mail in ballots to one residence that is occupied by only two people. There are alot of ballots being delivered that shouldn’t be.


11 posted on 09/13/2020 3:57:55 AM PDT by Russ (I)
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To: simpson96

Biden’s campaign is so screwed up here in Fl. they’re still running the ad calling for a national mask mandate.


12 posted on 09/13/2020 6:08:08 AM PDT by Mustard (tt)
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