Posted on 07/16/2020 10:10:10 AM PDT by TexasM1A
10,791 New Cases Reported Today
Texas is reporting 10,791 new confirmed COVID-19 cases for Wednesday, July 15. The San Antonio Metro Health District has clarified its reporting to separate confirmed and probable cases, so the Bexar County and statewide totals have been updated to remove 3,484 probable cases. The local case count previously included probable cases identified by antigen testing but not those from antibody testing or other sources.
Link?
Link?
I’m not really clear on what the circumstances are that you would have a “probable” case based on a PCR test. It’s either positive (confirmed case) or negative (confirmed non-case). Probable would be a situation where you see classic symptoms for it, can’t identify any other likely cause, and can’t (for whatever reason) perform a PCR test. So what kind of testing gives you a “probable”? Or did they actually mean that patients who display symptoms consistent with COVID-19 who were not tested were previously included but have since been removed from the case counts? Because that would make more sense to me.
I did especially like the post I recently saw of Rod Serling saying "Imagine if you will a virus so deadly that you must be tested to know you have it."
Ok, so someone comes in sick. They say looks like Covid so they say he’s “Probable” and put him in the Total cases category for that day. Then they give him the test., comes back a day later”positive.” Do they add that in as confirmed? Do they erase the previous day’s “Probable?”
HOW COME JOURNALISTS ARE INCAPABLE OF ASKING REAL QUESTIONS?
Corrupt BS.
I believe a nurse called in to Rush this week and said Texas is playing the same games w case numbers that Florida was caught doing
HOW COME JOURNALISTS ARE INCAPABLE OF ASKING REAL QUESTIONS?
I have always believed that there are no stupid questions.
UNLESS ASKED BY A JOURNALIST!
I believe they are schooled in stupidity in the Goebbels School of Journalism
Heard a second hand story about a group of friends who went into a center in Texas to get tested. They filled out the paper work but once they got in line, they decided the wait was too long and went home. Low and behold they tested positive even though they never actually were tested.
The other question is are all the asymptomatic "positive" results being counted in the ballyhooed statistics of "new cases". Haven't heard that hospitals and clinics are being overwhelmed, so pending a definitive answer I'm assuming that's the case. Thus the desperate drumbeat that more of the sky is falling and we are ordered to hide behind masks to prevent pieces hitting ourselves and others.
In the Florida reports they were reporting retested people (people who were diagnosed earlier and testing to see if they’re done) who report positive in their new positive numbers.
The percent of positive results ranged from 12.90% to 20.71% over the past 2 weeks and was 18.31% yesterday.
These counts include the number of people for whom the department received PCR or antigen laboratory results by day. People tested on multiple days will be included for each day a new result was received. A person is only counted once for each day they are tested, regardless of whether multiple specimens are tested or multiple results are received. If a person has a positive specimen and a negative specimen in the same day, only the positive result is counted."
I've never been sure what the PCR test is so looked it up.
It's worth noting that PCR tests can be very labour intensive, with several stages at which errors may occur between sampling and analysis. False negatives can occur up to 30% of the time with different PCR tests, meaning they're more useful for confirming the presence of an infection than giving a patient the all-clear.
Warwick Medical School honorary clinical lecturer Dr James Gill said: "During the course of the outbreak, the PCR testing has been refined from the initial testing procedures and with the addition of greater automation to reduce errors. As such, we now have an 80-85% specificity – i.e. the chance the test is detecting the virus.
"Remember as we are looking at swabs taken from people, who have lots of other organisms floating around, we are essentially dealing with the question of how 'right' the result we are looking at is."
We have no idea what the true numbers are and never will.
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