I just looked at the numbers for Spain, Italy, and France. Covid-19 deaths there have almost stopped, and new cases remain very low. Those countries have opened up and relaxed restrictions in recent weeks, but have not seen the dramatic spike in news cases that we’ve seen here. Why the difference?
Fewer riots and mass demonstrations in France, Italy and Spain?
“Why the difference?”
Our outbreaks are in new areas of the country. We’re a big country.
An outbreak seems to run it’s course.
Ny, etc, are seeing about the same as Europe.
I don’t know what the agenda is here. I just looked at Italy’s present numbers. They are losing about 35 people per day. It has fallen to that number and looks flattish now, as do all negative exponentials — which is what one would expect from a strict lockdown. 35 X 365 = about 13000/yr.
They are nearly all 65+ of course. Of Italy’s population about 23% are over 65. Italy’s pop is 60 million so there are 13.8 million oldsters there.
Some number in Italy die naturally each year. About 600,000, actually. Of that total 500K are over 65.
So the virus current rate (forgetting the spike early this year) killing 13,000 oldsters per year is an increase in elderly deaths of about 3% each year. From one virus at just 35 deaths/day.
Probably because they were smart and stopped testing.
All the states having spikes in cases are also states with low death rates per million.
These states just haven’t had their peak yet, but they will very soon now. Florida looks to be days away, Arizona right behind, the rest just behind.
These are the state everyone was looking at 4-6 weeks ago and wondering how they were doing so well.
are they testing? most of the cases we find are asymptomatic or minimally symptomatic. if we were still testing only those ill enough to be hospitalized out numbers might be similar