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To: webheart; mrsmith
It’s been a pandemic for 3 months. I still don’t see a bunch of dead bodies lying in the streets. With all the homeless people you would think there would be at least one or two and there aren’t even one or two. Three months. But it’s a pandemic.

It’s been three months. I’m educated in economics and took a lot of statistics as part of that education. I did back of the envelope calculations back in February with the data available then and first realized they were working with only the two sigmas to the far left of a bell curve and making claims based on incomplete data to make their predictions. They were using the cohorts of those who died and those who were hospitalized from infection of Covid19. That ignored many other cohorts normally expected to be found in any disease that form the bell curve of infection in a population. We were NOT ALLOWED to see that spectrum of infection which should have been included in any calculation to determine mortality and morbidity.

Using standard models, I completed the expected bell curve, including the infected cohorts with moderate symptom infections, mild symptom infections, asymptomatic infections, and those who might have viral loads but not infected at the far right of the bell curve. You then look at those who should be counted and used as the denominator for calculating a mortality rate for case mortality, and that DROPPED DRASTICALLY from the hyperbole that the mainstream news media was crowing 24/7. By including those estimated, but which had to exist real world, classes in the calculation the mortality rate dropped WAY below 1% while the infection rate went up. It spread easily, but it was not deadly, except in those who were at risk due to weakened immune systems, someone one found in many diseases. This one was particularly that way.

There’s a REASON the progressive leftists push infected people toward places where those at risk are likely to be infected such as nursing homes. . . Maybe I’m being extremely cynical. . . But it increases the numbers of those dying to advance the underlying agenda. For that same reason, they exaggerate by any means the actual COVID19 deaths, counting all deaths in the past three months, no matter from what cause, as Covid deaths, even deaths from auto-accidents, suicides, homicides, Myocardial Infarctions, diabetes, pneumonia, strokes, what ever, if they died during this period, they called it a Covid Death. The CDC reports the combined number on their first webpage, but if you dig deep, you’ll find a chart that breaks that number down and find it composed in a chart that shows it includes “season flu pneumonia deaths,” “Covid19 deaths,” and “Covid19 induced pneumonia deaths” which THEN gets the COVID component of the adjusted death count of another number they’ve come up with after adjusting the official number downward when they took out all the non-Covid related deaths in the first page number!

Many experts are joking that COVID19 is a miracle cure for every other disease due to the fact that the charts on the CDC website that tracked deaths for those diseases showed those deaths suddenly took a nose dive in mid-March. For example, the chart tracking seasonal influenza was trending upward until about march 14, then dropped to near ZERO. Similar traces on other tracking charts for other diseases showed exactly the same trend lines, as those deaths were subsumed into the counts for COVID19. It was ABSURD! Dr. Birx stated on the President’s National Briefing that they had instructed states to report all deaths as Covid related. Really! I saw and heard her say it. . . And Fauci, interrupted her to change the subject. But coroners and funeral homes around the country are calling foul on bodies they are processing where the state is changing death certificates right and left from actual causes of death to Covid. It’s pervasive! In other words, the numbers are NOT RELIABLE!

There is so much smoke being blown up our collective assets that we cannot believe a word from the deep state Leftists or the news media.

47 posted on 05/21/2020 11:48:48 PM PDT by Swordmaker (My pistol self-identifies as an iPad, so you must accept it in gun-free zones, you hoplophobe bigot!)
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To: Swordmaker

That’s one awesome post, Swordmaker.
I’m filing that one away...

Thanks for sharing!

o7

~Easy


75 posted on 05/22/2020 3:08:55 AM PDT by EasySt (Say not this is the truth, but so it seems to me to be, as I see this thing I think I see #KAG)
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