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More than 5 million Americans will be infected with coronavirus and 290,000 will die by the end of July if social distancing isn't adhered to, according to COVID-19 model
The Daily Mail ^ | May 20, 2020

Posted on 05/20/2020 11:55:18 AM PDT by MinorityRepublican

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To: TexasPaul

Flatten the curve was supposed to be about making sure we didn’t see excess deaths due to hospitals being overwhelmed like they were in Italy. Outside of a very small number of examples, that never materialized here (maybe due to the lockdown, maybe due to other factors). Flatten the curve was never supposed to be about dragging this thing out forever while our economy collapses.

They just didn’t have any plan for what to do after flattening the curve and so now they’re trying to cobble something together all last minute like a kid who’s late with his science fair project.


41 posted on 05/20/2020 12:27:47 PM PDT by 2aProtectsTheRest
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To: MinorityRepublican

That’s all?


42 posted on 05/20/2020 12:27:54 PM PDT by Vendome (I've Gotta Be Me https://youtu.be/wH-pk2vZG2M)
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To: MinorityRepublican
And you know what happens to the University Of Pennsylvania's Wharton School at the end of July when this doesn't happen?

Nothing, of course. The media will shove it down the memory...

43 posted on 05/20/2020 12:30:37 PM PDT by jeffc (The U.S. media are our enemy)
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To: MinorityRepublican

And those models are never wrong!

Just like the global warming models.


44 posted on 05/20/2020 12:31:38 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Just sit in your house until the food stops coming and then starve. You'll be safe.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

Maybe somebody could reveal their model for Deaths = ƒ(Social Distance) or Infections = ƒ(Social Distance).

Has anybody ever exposed this part of their model? I doubt it. It’s just more of “trust us — we have a model.”


45 posted on 05/20/2020 12:33:02 PM PDT by ProtectOurFreedom
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To: MinorityRepublican

“Bend the curve” has become “lets change society permanently”.

The virus is real and its a tragedy. But we have no choice but to get on with our lives. The Economy is by far the bigger problem now.


46 posted on 05/20/2020 12:33:49 PM PDT by desertfreedom765
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To: MinorityRepublican

Hasn’t ‘t the establishment always been telling us ‘’400,000 people a year die from cigarette smoking!’’. Sorry to sound so cold here but first of all this 295,000 figure is conjecture. And even if it’s true, so what?

Sorry folks but after two and a half months of seeing death pretty much day in and day out in the ER I work in I’m inured to it all. Yeah, every one of these deaths is it’s own tragedy but that’s how life is. People die no matter what. “Getting busy dying or get busy living’’. It’s time to start living. Get things moving again ,lets mourn the dead, yes, but for Gods sake and the nation’s lets get back to work.


47 posted on 05/20/2020 12:34:51 PM PDT by jmacusa (If we're all equal how is diversity our strength?)
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To: MinorityRepublican

48 posted on 05/20/2020 12:36:49 PM PDT by Magnum44 (My comprehensive terrorism plan: Hunt them down and kill them.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

China has 6 new cases today.


49 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:00 PM PDT by SaxxonWoods (Just sit in your house until the food stops coming and then starve. You'll be safe.)
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To: MinorityRepublican

I think it is the same model that they use for the Climate Change Conspiracy. I think they only have one doomsday model that they roll out for every “you’re going to die” event that they gen up.


50 posted on 05/20/2020 12:39:15 PM PDT by RetiredTexasVet
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To: MinorityRepublican

Coffee is good for you today, tomorrow it kills you.


51 posted on 05/20/2020 12:40:39 PM PDT by 1Old Pro (#openupstateny)
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To: MinorityRepublican

, the model predicts nearly 4.3 million cases and 230,000 deaths by July 24
= = =

EEK EEK PANIC

We need to start adding days to June, so we never reach July. What’s a couple of trillion more days of June?

Hey, we fixed the work week with daily savings time.

The Govt can print money, it can print new calendars.

And, all the states can promise to open July 1.

Free beer tomorrow or July 1, whichever comes first.


52 posted on 05/20/2020 12:48:34 PM PDT by Scrambler Bob (This is not /s. It is just as viable as any MSM 'information', maybe more so!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

GIGO.These formulas are based on crap.So far the loss of life has proven that.


53 posted on 05/20/2020 12:49:14 PM PDT by puppypusher ( The world is going to the dogs.)
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To: poinq

poing,

Thank you very much for the truth about statistical models.


54 posted on 05/20/2020 12:53:42 PM PDT by Scrambler Bob (This is not /s. It is just as viable as any MSM 'information', maybe more so!)
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To: MinorityRepublican

290,000 / 330 million is 0.00088, or 88 per 100,000.

General accidents kill 169,000
Cancer: 599,000
(CDC data 2017)

We don’t shut down America for cancer, or heart disease, or accidents.


55 posted on 05/20/2020 12:56:34 PM PDT by captain_dave
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To: captain_dave

Dow has recovered 6,000 points since the low in a month. Nov is a long way. People will return to work when unemployment runs out.


56 posted on 05/20/2020 12:59:37 PM PDT by BushCountry (thinks he needs a gal whose name doesn't end in ".jpg")
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To: MinorityRepublican
"The ominous forecast from the University Of Pennsylvania's Wharton School model accounts for all states fully reopening without any social distancing measures."

Why did they waste time on a model that will not correspond to reality? Some states are not opening at all, and most states that do open are opening gradually and with many safeguards in place.
57 posted on 05/20/2020 1:00:31 PM PDT by Steve_Seattle
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To: gas_dr

Banner headline at CNN this hour is about “anonymous sources” inside the CDC griping that “Trump has muzzled us”.

A very good day indeed!!


58 posted on 05/20/2020 1:04:36 PM PDT by Buckeye McFrog (Patrick Henry would have been an anti-vaxxer)
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Comment #59 Removed by Moderator

To: MinorityRepublican

So, 150K nursing home deaths then...../s


60 posted on 05/20/2020 1:12:31 PM PDT by usafa92 (Donald J. Trump, 45th President of the United States of America)
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