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To: daniel1212

Compare who died with the Flu March and April last year with this year. That will reveal how effective this shutdown has been since the precautions will help prevent the Flu as well.


9 posted on 04/18/2020 4:23:01 PM PDT by Nateman ( Unless the left is screaming you are doing it wrong.)
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To: Nateman
Compare who died with the Flu March and April last year with this year. That will reveal how effective this shutdown has been since the precautions will help prevent the Flu as well.

More relevant would be the Asian flu of 1957–58 for which 116,000 American deaths are assigned (among about half of today's total US population). Also there was the Hong Kong flu of 1968–69 with its 100,000 American deaths.

Or that according to estimates, between 61,000 to 80,000 Americans died during the 2017-2018 season, the latter being the highest death toll in 40 years. During that 2017-2018 season, the percentage of deaths attributed to pneumonia and influenza (P&I) was at or above the epidemic threshold for 16 consecutive weeks. Nationally, mortality attributed to P&I exceeded 10.0% for four consecutive weeks, peaking at 10.8% during the week ending January 20, 2018, (https://www.cdc.gov/flu/about/season/flu-season-2017-2018.htm) with older Americans dying at a rate of 169 Americans a day, or seven people per hour. (https://www.aarp.org/health/conditions-treatments/info-2018/older-flu-deaths-rising.html

See this chart of major pandemics.

As for the 2019-2020 Flu season, as of 3-17-20 the CDC reported that,

The overall cumulative hospitalization rate was 67.9 per 100,000 population, which is higher than all recent seasons at this time of year except for the 2017-18 season. Rates in children 0-4 years old and adults 18-49 years old are now the highest CDC has on record for these age groups, surpassing the rate reported during the 2009 H1N1 pandemic. Hospitalization rates for school-aged children are higher than any recent regular season but lower than rates during the pandemic.

Today it states that as re Pneumonia and Influenza (P&I) Mortality Surveillance

Based on National Center for Health Statistics (NCHS) mortality surveillance data available on April 16, 2020, 11.9% of the deaths occurring during the week ending April 11, 2020 (week 15) were due to P&I. This percentage is above the epidemic threshold of 7.0% for week 15.

However, the death figures are not provided on that page (most everything but) meaning you must hunt for them, which is typical of the CDC. But here it lists 52,285 deaths for Week 13 and 49,292 deaths for Week 14 (most current) for Influenza Deaths and Pneumonia Deaths combined. And note that some of the latter can be assigned to Covid.

13 posted on 04/18/2020 5:26:21 PM PDT by daniel1212 ( Trust the risen Lord Jesus to save you as a damned and destitute sinner + be baptized + follow Him)
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