My daily fatality index was around 30 for the US back about 18 March. Actions to date have lowered that to about 7% as of last night. Below is what the curve may have looked like if the US hadn't taken any actions at all to slow the spread and the DFI stayed at 30. Actually, the DFI would probably have risen quite a lot more once HCS collapsed and people began dying en mass from the lack of available medical treatment.