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To: a little elbow grease

They quoted the death rate on Hannity’s show as 0.66%.

Let’s put that in perspective:

That’s 1 in 151 cases.

If unemployment hits 30%...that’s 45 in 151.

A study conducted in 2017 found that a 10% increase in unemployment would shorten the average life span of the population by 1.5 years.

We’re killing more people than we’re saving.


42 posted on 03/31/2020 7:28:15 PM PDT by Fitzy_888 ("ownership society")
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To: Fitzy_888

Your math is wise!


96 posted on 03/31/2020 8:04:33 PM PDT by a little elbow grease (... to err is human, to admit it unusual...)
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To: Fitzy_888

Well, Hannity is a recovering FluBro. He hasn’t seen all the data with newly opened eyes, yet.

It’s 2% under all the best circumstances.

1 in 50.

That will shorten life expectancy.

Where does the 30% unemployment figure come from? How does it relate to current circumstances? And which unemployment statistic does it apply to? There are several that people with agendas cherry-pick among for what ever propaganda it is they are trying to spread.


104 posted on 03/31/2020 8:20:35 PM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: Fitzy_888

0.66%
,
Ain’t the End of the World.


112 posted on 03/31/2020 8:29:43 PM PDT by Big Red Badger (He Hath Not Given Us A Spirit Of Fear)
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To: Fitzy_888

This season of discomfort and uncertainty is temporary....death is a done deal...... Perspective check.


167 posted on 03/31/2020 9:37:02 PM PDT by caww
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To: Fitzy_888; a little elbow grease

“They quoted the death rate on Hannity’s show as 0.66%. That’s 1 in 151 cases.”

And that’s CONFIRMED cases. For every confirmed case, there may be 10 unreported cases, or 100, or 1000, or 10000!

The true mortality rate is unknown, but we do know this: It is orders of magnitude lower than the .66% rate being reported.

We should not be surprised that the government would report an exaggerated mortality rate.

Pressure from an adversarial media makes the government (certainly any Republican administration) predisposed to overreact - they have no choice when the question put to them 24/7 is “Will this be Trump’s Katrina or Trump’s Chernobyl?”

What choice do they have? None. So they are going to highball death estimates, raise expectations and prepare the public for the worst. They are now saying anywhere from 100,000 to 220000 deaths are possible. Then they say they hope for far less.

See what they are doing? They can’t afford to be wrong on the upside, so they throw out a huge worst case scenario. The truth is they have no idea, and there is no science behind those huge numbers - only fear of undershooting their estimates and looking underprepared.

The good news is that if I’m right, the actual impact over the next two weeks will price to be far less than what we are being prepared to expect. Once that becomes obvious, the panic and overreaction will quickly subside.

We could get back to work much, much sooner than the 30 days.


193 posted on 04/01/2020 2:28:59 AM PDT by enumerated
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