Posted on 03/29/2020 9:35:29 AM PDT by Mariner
Yesterday's thread here:
http://freerepublic.com/focus/chat/3829269/posts?page=1
NY
900 NYPD members will be positive for coronavirus by Monday, commissioner says
By Craig McCarthy
March 29, 2020 | 5:52pm | Updated
The number of confirmed NYPD coronavirus cases is expected to spike Monday morning to around 900, Police Commissioner Dermot Shea said Sunday — as he revealed that more and more cops continue to call out sick.
That’s a jump of 300 cases since Saturday.
“We know that those numbers are going to continually grow,” Shea said of confirmed cases. “We’re looking at both sides of the spectrum, quite frankly: what is the current sick rate as officers are still becoming infected? And when is that beginning to plateau?”
The number of cops out sick Sunday was close to 5,000, or nearly 14 percent of the force, according to the commissioner. That number is up by nearly 800 officers from the day prior.
Coronavirus Latest: 15 COVID-19 Deaths Confirmed In Maryland
March 29, 2020 at 5:19 pm
ANNAPOLIS, Md. (WJZ) — The Maryland Department of Health announced Sunday five additional deaths as a result of the coronavirus, bringing the total number of COVID-19 deaths to 15 in the state.
The most recent victims are a Carroll County man in his 90s with underlying medical conditions; a Howard County man in his 70s with underlying medical conditions; a Prince George’s County man in his 30s with underlying medical conditions; a Prince George’s County woman in her 50s with underlying medical conditions; and a Prince George’s County man in his 70s with underlying medical conditions.
MI
Coronavirus cases in Michigan’s prisons double over weekend
Updated 5:02 PM; Today 4:57 PM
By Michael Kransz | mkransz@mlive.com
The number of reported coronavirus cases among Michigan’s prison population doubled over the weekend.
Fifty-eight prisoners and one parolee across multiple state correctional facilities are now confirmed to have COVID-19, the illness caused by the novel coronavirus, according to the Michigan Department of Corrections on Sunday, March 29.
The majority of cases are from the Parnall Correctional Facility in Jackson and the Macomb Correctional Facility, located about 20 miles northeast of Warren.
Additionally, 11 MDOC staff members have contracted the virus, MDOC spokesperson Chris Gautz said on Sunday.
The latest confirmed case numbers are double the 24 total cases among prisoners reported Friday, according to Bridge Magazine. One parolee also was reported to have coronavirus.
If we are two weeks away from the highest amount of deaths per day, then the highest amount of new infections was about two weeks ago, mid March.
The model calls for about 1,200 deaths per day on May first, which is about half the number of daily deaths at the peak in mid April. That means that right now, today, we are having about one half the number of infections taking place that were taking place in mid March.
when droplets become turbulent gas clouds. Aaaachoo!
(so I’m guessing droplets are normal breathing and gas clouds are coughing and sneezing?)
reposting from 3/28
Turbulent Gas Clouds and Respiratory Pathogen Emissions
Potential Implications for Reducing Transmission of COVID-19
Turbulent gas cloud dynamics should influence the design and recommended use of surgical and other masks. These masks can be used both for source control (ie, reducing spread from an infected person) and for protection of the wearer (ie, preventing spread to an unaffected person). The protective efficacy of N95 masks depends on their ability to filter incoming air from aerosolized droplet nuclei. However, these masks are only designed for a certain range of environmental and local conditions and a limited duration of usage.9 Mask efficacy as source control depends on the ability of the mask to trap or alter the high-momentum gas cloud emission with its pathogenic payload. Peak exhalation speeds can reach up to 33 to 100 feet per second (10-30 m/s), creating a cloud that can span approximately 23 to 27 feet (7-8 m). Protective and source control masks, as well as other protective equipment, should have the ability to repeatedly withstand the kind of high-momentum multiphase turbulent gas cloud that may be ejected during a sneeze or a cough and the exposure from them. Currently used surgical and N95 masks are not tested for these potential characteristics of respiratory emissions.
https://jamanetwork.com/journals/jama/fullarticle/2763852
To be honest with you, I’m significantly more concerned with my death, which will last forever.
Japanese camera:
Recording 0.1 micron #COVID19 in the air
Video at link
https://twitter.com/ISCResearch/status/1243843226521534464
POTUS extends the Flatten the Curve measures another two weeks...until April 30th.
Will give briefing, with findings on why the extention, on Tuesday night.
A plane from Shanghai arrived at John F. Kennedy International Airport in New York Sunday morning carrying an extraordinary load: 12 million gloves, 130,000 N95 masks, 1.7 million surgical masks, 50,000 gowns, 130,000 hand sanitizer units, and 36,000 thermometers.
Why it matters: The flight is the start of what might end up being the largest government-led airlift of emergency medical supplies into the United States.
Good Lord, that is utterly terrifying :O
It’s a tough call, but the right one.
The next important move would be to start urging people to wear masks.
Trump says coronavirus ‘peak in death rate’ likely in 2 weeks, extends social-distancing guidelines through April 30
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/trump-coronavirus-briefing-death-rate-social-distancing
This goes along with what we’ve been saying.
I pretty much was expecting this.
:- /
Thanks for the projection link.
Bookmarked for future reference (and comparison, of course).
Yes, but it sure does explain the infection rate of this virus, and why people in Wuhan were told to turn off their HVAC systems
That's coming, I believe...
NEW: CDC guidance on masks expected to change in next 10 days. Americans will be advised to wear masks in everyday life. Current recommendation is for high-risk groups only.— Matt McCarthy (@DrMattMcCarthy) March 28, 2020
These numbers have gotten really complicated—way above my pay grade to figure out—just plan to watch and compare...
Thanks for that link.
I pray it does, honestly. There is a reason why governments in every country in the world are urging this.
On what planet does death rate statistically have to increase?
Deaths are a snapshot of infections (actual infections, including both tested and untested) that on average started 23.5 days ago.
In order for the mortality rate to increase, that would mean the denominator (# of infections) would have to have either been over counted in the past, OR would have to grow slower proportionately to the numerator (# of deaths) in the future, despite # of tests performed accelerating faster than both.
Or do you think that the # of deaths has been severely undercounted???
Honestly, the degree of mathematical illiteracy in this country is staggering.
“while emphasizing that China must lead all joint actions.”
in a pigs eye, Xi and Li. They might be able to use their money to influence behavior in South America and Africa but they can go suck lemons when it comes to the Free World.
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