[Widget Jr]

Check the world meter link in my post #48 and read through the numbers. Worldmeter classifies cases as either "active" (a person known to have covid-19) or "closed" (recovered or deceased). Active includes all the minor and mild cases that do not have a outcome yet.

"Active Cases 433,586 Currently Infected Patients
411,493 (95%) in Mild Condition
22,093 (5%) Serious or Critical",

[!1776!]

Never mind.

I asked about parameters and how to bound the metric with unknowns assuming you could clarify or provide specific insights that are reasonably applicable to interpretation of the calc.

I see now that is not your priority.

Take care