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To: Thud

12 dead from the DP. 1 on board, 1 evacuated to the US, 1 evacuated to Canada.

And somewhere they found another 5 cases for a total of 712.

597 recovered, leaving 103 cases unresolved.

The DCR for the DP is 1.7%, the current CFR is 2%. The final CFR will be somewhere in between those numbers, I expect, but if all 103 were to die it would be way higher (16%), and if none of the 13 die it drops to 1.7%. That 1.7% is, mathematically, as low as it can get given the reported numbers.


609 posted on 03/28/2020 4:12:21 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: calenel; Thud
"12 dead from the DP. 1 on board, 1 evacuated to the US, 1 evacuated to Canada."

12 dead from the DP. 10 on board, 1 evacuated to the US, 1 evacuated to Canada.

My '0' key sticks sometimes, sorry.

611 posted on 03/28/2020 4:39:38 AM PDT by calenel (Don't panic. Prepare and be vigilant. Join the war effort. On the human side.)
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To: calenel
I don't consider the Diamond Princess to be a valid sample for death rates. The older age cohorts of the passengers were too large relative to the total passengers.

I do consider the Diamond Princess to be a valid but rough sample for the ratio of asymptomatic to symptomatic infected - at least as many asymptomatic as symptomatic. IMO that is the only valid virus statistic we can pull from the ship.

788 posted on 03/28/2020 11:43:51 AM PDT by Thud
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To: calenel

Wonder what portion of those DP unresolved are currently on ventilators ?


817 posted on 03/28/2020 12:49:07 PM PDT by justa-hairyape (The user name is sarcastic. Although at times it may not appear that way.)
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