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To: wastoute

The Lancet used a 14 day offset between deaths and recoveries in their calculations.

The death toll 14 days ago compared to the number recovered today give a fairly stable number.

It’s more or less a cohort that got sick on the same day, with the fatal outcomes taking a week and recovery taking 3 weeks.


97 posted on 03/26/2020 11:04:51 AM PDT by null and void (By the pricking of my lungs, Something wicked this way comes ...)
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To: null and void

The Italian data says ten days is a better # than 14.


104 posted on 03/26/2020 11:06:40 AM PDT by wastoute (Government cannot redistribute wealth. Government can only redistribute poverty.)
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To: null and void

>>The Lancet used a 14 day offset between deaths and recoveries in their calculations.

slight problem with that... 120% of Chinese virus deaths get reported, but tens of thousands, maybe over a hundred thousand “recoveries” do not get reported because after a positive test, for an individual with only mild symptoms, they get sent home to self-quarantine, and get better without hospital help. There is no one to ever see or test that patient again, and declare them recovered.


942 posted on 03/27/2020 9:06:20 AM PDT by Future Useless Eater (Congress: Add clarification that CO2 is a PLANT FOOD, not a pollutant covered by the Clean Air Act)
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