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Coronavirus may have infected half of UK population — Oxford study (low risk)
Financial Times ^ | 03/24/2020 | Clive Cookson

Posted on 03/24/2020 11:22:45 AM PDT by rb22982

click here to read article


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To: AndyJackson

Again, read the article or excerpt. It means the vast majority of people that get it, have no or mild symptoms and aren’t being tested for it.


21 posted on 03/24/2020 11:59:01 AM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982

The South Korean data put the lie to your claims. You are passing around horsehockey utter unfounded dangerous horsehockey.


22 posted on 03/24/2020 12:05:33 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson

Actually, the SK data proves it, as does Japan - it’s why there hasn’t been another big outbreak there.


23 posted on 03/24/2020 12:10:48 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: All
Blasted paywall. I'd love to see their testing methodology and how widespread it was. In other words, if they're extrapolating based on tests in high-density areas, like London, and not factoring in lower density areas, the infection number would probably be skewed higher.

I'm not saying they did that. Only that I like to search the source for that sort of thing and can't here.

Are any "paying customers" able to expound upon that?
24 posted on 03/24/2020 12:13:21 PM PDT by mmichaels1970
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To: rb22982
“We need immediately to begin large-scale serological surveys — antibody testing — to assess what stage of the epidemic we are in now,” she said.

This. We are making decisions with extremely biased facts; this is likely much more contagious than we have been told, but with a much lower mortality rate.

25 posted on 03/24/2020 12:13:36 PM PDT by LambSlave
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To: rb22982

You’re a good liar. You just can’t figure.


26 posted on 03/24/2020 12:14:14 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: LambSlave

Bingo


27 posted on 03/24/2020 12:14:40 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: AndyJackson

I don’t think you understand how things spread with an R0 of 2.3-3.0+. It doesn’t just disappear no matter how much you track it, especially with so many assymptomatic carriers, especially if you are letting other people in the country.


28 posted on 03/24/2020 12:15:59 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: Buckeye McFrog

Absolutely. Which would be why the Deep State fought Trumo’s promotion of the drug cocktail so vigorously. Notably, however well Trump and Tony may be getting along, Trump has had the FDA approve doctors using this drug for treating patients before the studies Tony said were required have had a chance to be completed.


29 posted on 03/24/2020 12:16:50 PM PDT by 9YearLurker
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To: rb22982

The town that had the first recorded infection in Italy tested its entire population and found that only 3% were infected. About half of them were asymptomatic. This Oxford study is BS.


30 posted on 03/24/2020 12:17:01 PM PDT by Helicondelta (Deplorable)
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To: Helicondelta

That doesn’t mean they haven’t already had it or it was such a mild case it didn’t register enough with assympomatic (same reason lots of people had to have multiple tests done). It’s why you do an anti-body study. It’s how they figured out the swine flu was only .02% death rate rather than the 1-5% originally thought.


31 posted on 03/24/2020 12:18:34 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: AndyJackson
Oh BS. SK tests widely.

Those tests, and all the tests we are seeing results for are RT-PCR, not serological; i.e. they are only detecting those who have active virus in their system, not those who have been exposed and successfully fought it off. The article is dead on, this is what we should be doing right now to figure out the appropriate response. I also suspect the mystery, non-flu illness going around the Northeast since late January was in fact Covid.

32 posted on 03/24/2020 12:18:45 PM PDT by LambSlave
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To: rb22982
You are begging the question - engaged in a circular argument- assuming that which you have to prove.

There is no evidence that CV satured in SK, that the whole populace got it and only 9,000 were detected positive, etc.

And there is no evidence that that happened anywhere else either.

33 posted on 03/24/2020 12:20:25 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: LambSlave

Either it spread almost instantly and saturated whole populations, or else it is spreading at a finite and measurable rate. You cannot have it both ways.


34 posted on 03/24/2020 12:21:54 PM PDT by AndyJackson
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To: AndyJackson

Again, as the authors of this study said, all you have to do is do an antibody study and you can find out really quickly. See who has already had it/immune. And if it’s not saturated in SK, it will come back with so many people assymptomatic.


35 posted on 03/24/2020 12:22:35 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: vespa300

little or no sickness? So what’s all the hub-bub about?


BUT TRUMP!!!!


36 posted on 03/24/2020 12:23:26 PM PDT by freedomlover
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To: rb22982

For this to be true, and we should all hope that it is, the infection rate should be slowing down in the U.K. It has slowed at least for a few days. That’s not enough time for me but it is a good sign.

Worth watching.


37 posted on 03/24/2020 12:24:57 PM PDT by InterceptPoint (Ted, you finally endorsed.)
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To: rb22982

would like to FB this

needs paid sub to see whole article


38 posted on 03/24/2020 12:25:25 PM PDT by Wuli
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To: InterceptPoint

It could be a gen or two off, but yes in the next week or two it should be slowing down. The Imperial College model had us at Gen 10. This one says Gen 19-20.


39 posted on 03/24/2020 12:26:49 PM PDT by rb22982
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To: rb22982
-- You don't actually need a massive sample size - 1000 random people would work. --

Yep. Concentrate on Londaon, other places with international traffic and high density.

Supposedly NYC has a 1:1000 infection rate. Not sure where Birx got that estimate, but it's something she tossed out this afternoon. Big difference between 1:1000 and 1:2

40 posted on 03/24/2020 12:28:21 PM PDT by Cboldt
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