I agree with you. The projections are only as good as the data reported. And as things get crazy, I'm not sure that accurate reporting, and even testing, are going to be a priority. Another factor comes into play, too. As more and more people are infected, it will become harder for the virus to find an uninfected victim. So the math behind these projections has a limited lifespan. I just don't know when it will begin to break down.
As more and more people are infected, it will become harder for the virus to find an uninfected victim
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there are many reports of re-infections since no immunities are developed - usual re-infection ends in organ collapse