[comebacknewt]

To me, the most important news is that those percentages have been decreasing steadily for days.

Not growing exponentially as some have predicted.

[JeanLM]

The only reliable statistic, and that is subject to review and adjustment, is the number of deaths. You have a body.

The only number of interest to me is the number of US deaths. Right now we’re at close to 300 total from covid 19 and it started in the first week of March.

The regular flu has clocked 4,400 this season and we’re still collecting bodies at the rate of 300 per week.
Hope they keep them separate.

If 19 is like the regular flu, and I think it is, it will peak in the 14th to 22nd week at between 500 and 1600 deaths per week. Then it will drop for another 10 to 20 weeks. That rate is normal for a flu virus.

[frogjerk]

Not growing exponentially as some have predicted.

Wait till next week, wait till next week, wait till next week, We'll be like Italy /sarc

[DannyTN]

South Korea’s has been going up, not down.

Rates of 0.8%, 0.855, 0.9% were being touted as “see it’s not so bad”. Now it’s up to 1.17%. Putting it back above Dr. Fouci’s 1%, 10 times more lethal than flu claim.

[Svartalfiar]

To me, the most important news is that those percentages have been decreasing steadily for days.

Not growing exponentially as some have predicted.

Given most viri, the death rate should spike, then come down as the recoveries will lag the deaths. So your first round of deaths occurs before the first round of recoveries have finished recovering. As more cases are infected, each round's deaths come quicker than the recoveries, but after a certain point those deaths don;t spike the death rate, while the recoveries begin to even out and bring the CFR down to close to an accurate number for the virus/bacteria. Of course, this doesn't usually take into account factors like immune/resistant folks, or those who get a mild case and never see the doc. Folks who are diagnosed with something else. Deaths that are attributed to other causes. Etc. In order to get an actual, close to accurate number, you have to do what SKorea did, and test a large subset of the population and show those non-doc visiting cases. Which, per the number above, was just over 1%. Course, this still leaves out factors like environmental, age, ethnicity, etc. But it gives the best general number for a large populace, including the hidden group that pushes the rate down.