The US rate of confirmed cases was very constant at b doubling every two days, since February 20. It changed to almost every three days last week, I suspect, because of limited testing consistency and problems with kits.
However, the rate in the last week remains fairly close to every 2.3 days.
I can go back to the spreadsheet and full in previous dates up to current if anyone questions this.
Your stats are spot on.
Almost following a natural log. I have seen the same.
Please post the table...
The case numbers are not only affected by the number of tests, but also by whom they choose to test.
Hopefully they’re testing healthcare and response people.
And those who would tie up healthcare facilities if sick.
Get them in to treatment early and get them out (one way or the other) before the peak hits.
| 2/28/2020 | 62 |
| 2/29/2020 | 68 |
| 3/1/2020 | 77 |
| 3/2/2020 | 105 |
| 3/3/2020 | 118 |
| 3/4/2020 | 153 |
| 3/5/2020 | 215 |
| 3/6/2020 | 310 |
| 3/7/2020 | 401 |
| 3/8/2020 | 547 |
| 3/9/2020 | 607 |
| 3/10/2020 | 696 |
| 3/11/2020 | 1,311 |
| 3/12/2020 | 1,663 |
| 3/13/2020 | 2,081 |
| 3/14/2020 | 2,951 |
| 3/15/2020 | 3,680 |
| 3/16/2020 | 4,706 |
| 3/17/2020 | 6,509 |
| 3/18/2020 | 9,417 |
| 3/19/2020 | 14,322 |
| 3/20/2020 | 19,106 |
This represents exactly a 31.3751552002317% daily increase.
At this daily rate, the number of confirmed cases will double every 2.55 days.
However, today is not over. So any additional cases today will lower the that doubling number a bit. So you see, we're really in agreement, within a minor margin of error.