CUOMO: “We did some projections. We think here in New York... we’re looking here at a peak in about five or six weeks. We’re looking at about 110,000 hospitalizations, about 25,000 to 37,000 people needing ICU beds. That vastly overwhelms our healthcare capacity.”
https://twitter.com/ryanstruyk/status/1240731828731949065
110,000 hospitalizations/.15 = 733,000.
New York state’s population is 19.8M, of which about 60% (11.9M)
733,000/11,900,000 = 6% of the population is infected in the first wave.
I am estimating that 5% of the population will be infected in the first wave, so I believe Cuomo’s estimates are solid.
I am impressed, to be honest.
not paying much attention to Cuomo but he does seem to be doing a fairly good job in a terrible situation in a state that is a hotspot.
Lord help us..it might help him run for POTUS one day
New York nay have gotten a good vectoring of the more virulent Italian strain.