AC predicts there will (soon) be emerging defiance to public orders as certain business and individuals begin to engage in civil disobedience.
I'll take it one step further and predict which group will lead the movement: 20-30 somethings. All their lives have been devoted to maintaining the status quo of the Boomer generation; their societal rules, their SS/Medicare/pensions/401k, there escalated real estate prices.
Now, when just when the younger generation's lives are getting started, as they form families and begin earning incomes as their careers develop, they are supposed to put it all aside and once again sacrifice their well being, their futures, for the 60+ plus generation? How long are they to suffer under the yoke?
Mark my words, even if fatalities reach projected levels, that still means the vast majority get to live - their lives, their families, their aspirations. Maybe that 95% forms a new voting coalition that chooses freedom.
Secondly, see my post above: The revolution is going to come from the newly enfranchised (voting) generation. Within a few weeks, the debate about going forward with government enforced gulags vs letting nature take its course is going to reach a boiling point.
Trump would be well served to consider this emerging sentiment. A combination of locked down border controls, quarantine/support services for those infected, a return of outsourced mfg back to US shores, and resumption of normal American economic/social life is what will win the 2020 election.