There is zero evidence that any country has “turned the corner”.
All we know for sure is some countries have hit the pause button.
If anyone has news of their county or state fairs being cancelled please post.
Yup. The only country that has a high number of “recovered” is China. That should tell us all something.
All we know for sure is some countries have hit the pause button.
No evidence? China, newly reported cases: 20. 20! New deaths, 13! Now we probably have good cause to doubt China's reporting. But let's look at South Korea vs. USA:
South Korea Total Cases / New Cases / Total Deaths / New Deaths:
8236 / 74 / 75 / 0
USA Total Cases / New Cases / Total Cases / New Deaths:
4667 / 987 / 87 / 19
Of our 87 deaths, 29 are linked to the Kirkland nursing home. So there is some indicative evidence of "turning the corner" when you look at how the number of new cases in China and South Korea has been contained by measures taken. Will they ultimately have the same quantity of cases? Maybe, but then if all we are doing is buying down a longer crisis then I think there may be better ways of doing that. As I offered earlier, we could do extreme measures for those who might otherwise be cases that would stress healthcare services.
Anyway, looking at the numbers you wonder how China with 3,226 deaths would ever get to the numbers of deaths which happen with the Flu season.