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To: DoodleBob

Logistic fittings for COVID-19:

“Based on the data from 11. Mar 2020, a very rough estimate indicates that the number of cases [outside China] will be about 90000 (Fig 7); data from 13. Mar 2020 rise this number to 380 000. However, it is an early-stage epidemic, so these estimates are very questionable and will be changed with new data.” - https://www.researchgate.net/publication/339240777_Estimation_of_the_final_size_of_coronavirus_epidemic_by_the_logistic_model


7 posted on 03/15/2020 12:02:09 PM PDT by NobleFree ("law is often but the tyrant's will, and always so when it violates the right of an individual")
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To: NobleFree
This is just what I was thinking should be modeled. Thank you..BFL.

I agree - Mr Duffy got it...and sadly it was 15 years ago and nobody (except us) is reading it.

8 posted on 03/15/2020 12:12:58 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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