“Your numbers are way off if you are in a collapsed health system.”
Please demonstrate how my numbers are “way off”. The current numbers I used derive in part from where most of the deaths have occurred — in collapsed health systems (China, Italy and likely Iran). The current death rate therefore represents, in large part, a worst case scenario arising within poorly prepared countries.
Mortality rate is a function of the level of medical attention and quality one receives. Its also a function of getting a respirator if you need one. If everyone catches it at the same time the 1% to 5% that need a respirator will not all get one. If we slow the infection rate down more will have time to recover and respirators will be more readily available, lowering the number of deaths.