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To: gas_dr; DoodleBob
Okay ... my naive analysis shows that the U.S. total cases through today, and starting with the first day on doodlebob's table, are exponential. Each day is modeled by the previous day raised to the 1.03666228209419 power.
Actual  ^1.036662282
2717	 2717
3478	 3,631 
4645	 4,904 
6362	 6,696 
7769	 9,249 
13680	 12,926 
19285	 18,290 
26747	 26,211 
???	 38,060 
(Guesstimating 38,000 for today based upon partial day's data)
226 posted on 03/22/2020 2:15:12 PM PDT by Disestablishmentarian (the right of the people peaceably to assemble)
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To: Disestablishmentarian; gas_dr
We're at 32,644 now. You're better than I am!

That said, and at the risk of sounding like a sore loser, I'm really questioning what's happening in NYS. 1,706 was their count five days ago, and as of now they're at 15,777. True, it's a large state of about 11MM people, but they're looking like Italy.

227 posted on 03/22/2020 2:36:55 PM PDT by DoodleBob (Gravity's waiting period is about 9.8 m/s^2)
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