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Since I'm a man who believes in not backing down when I think I'm right (or at least on the right path), I am hereby posting my forecast for US Coronavirus Cases, based on the assumption that the logistic profile will be repeated here, and the daily growth rates of confirmed cases will follow that of Hubei from Jan 30 onward. If I develop a new technique (i.e., build my own logistic model) I'll update my forecast, but for now, here is where I see this headed stateside:

Date	Forecast US Coronavirus Cases	Forecast Percent Growth	Actual Cases
3/14/20	2,999	38.0%	2717
3/15/20	3,552	18.4%	3478
3/16/20	4,376	23.2%	.
3/17/20	6,837	56.3%	.
3/18/20	8,271	21.0%	.
3/19/20	10,202	23.3%	.
3/20/20	12,029	17.9%	.
3/21/20	13,526	12.4%	.
3/22/20	15,264	12.8%	.
3/23/20	16,577	8.6%	.
3/24/20	18,125	9.3%	.
3/25/20	19,408	7.1%	.
3/26/20	20,410	5.2%	.
3/27/20	20,410	0.0%	.
3/28/20	29,488	44.5%	.
3/29/20	33,280	12.9%	.
3/30/20	34,408	3.4%	.
3/31/20	35,590	3.4%	.
4/1/20	36,696	3.1%	.
4/2/20	37,731	2.8%	.
4/3/20	37,945	0.6%	.
4/4/20	38,196	0.7%	.
4/5/20	38,331	0.4%	.
4/6/20	39,201	2.3%	.
4/7/20	39,201	0.0%	.
4/8/20	39,325	0.3%	.
4/9/20	39,630	0.8%	.
4/10/20	39,875	0.6%	.
4/11/20	40,125	0.6%	.
4/12/20	40,320	0.5%	.
4/13/20	40,579	0.6%	.
4/14/20	40,927	0.9%	.
4/15/20	41,047	0.3%	.

Interesting forecast...

I’m guessing we will have an immediate jump up, since testing was not widely available previously.

Also, we seem to be on a similar curve trajectory to Italy.

Here is today's update, using the JH US totals as of now. My forecast is under by -5.79%:

Date	Forecast Cases	Forecast Percent Growth	Actual Cases
3/14/20	2,999	38.0%	2717
3/15/20	3,552	18.4%	3478
3/16/20	4,376	23.2%	4645
3/17/20	6,837	56.3%	.
3/18/20	8,271	21.0%	.
3/19/20	10,202	23.3%	.
3/20/20	12,029	17.9%	.
3/21/20	13,526	12.4%	.
3/22/20	15,264	12.8%	.
3/23/20	16,577	8.6%	.
3/24/20	18,125	9.3%	.
3/25/20	19,408	7.1%	.
3/26/20	20,410	5.2%	.
3/27/20	20,410	0.0%	.
3/28/20	29,488	44.5%	.
3/29/20	33,280	12.9%	.
3/30/20	34,408	3.4%	.
3/31/20	35,590	3.4%	.
4/1/20	36,696	3.1%	.
4/2/20	37,731	2.8%	.
4/3/20	37,945	0.6%	.
4/4/20	38,196	0.7%	.
4/5/20	38,331	0.4%	.
4/6/20	39,201	2.3%	.
4/7/20	39,201	0.0%	.
4/8/20	39,325	0.3%	.
4/9/20	39,630	0.8%	.
4/10/20	39,875	0.6%	.
4/11/20	40,125	0.6%	.
4/12/20	40,320	0.5%	.
4/13/20	40,579	0.6%	.
4/14/20	40,927	0.9%	.
4/15/20	41,047	0.3%	.