Coronavirus is 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu, Trump's task force immunologist says

the week ^ | 3/11/2020 | the week

[RummyChick]

Dr. Anthony Fauci, director of the National Institute of Allergy and Infectious Diseases, told lawmakers during a House Oversight Committee hearing Wednesday that COVID-19 — the disease caused by the novel coronavirus — is probably about 10 times more lethal than the seasonal flu.

President Trump has often compared COVID-19 to the flu, which affects tens of thousands of Americans each year, in an effort to calm people down, but Fauci clearly wasn't trying to downplay the seriousness of the virus' spread. Fauci is a member of the White House's coronavirus task force.

At the same time, he did clarify that 10 times figure actually brings the new coronavirus' fatality rate lower than official estimates, which hover around 3 percent. The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1 percent, so, when considering the likelihood that there are many asymptomatic or very mild cases that have gone undiagnosed, Fauci places the new coronavirus' lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent. While that's a good deal lower than the current data suggests, it still would lead to significant numbers of fatalities, and makes the flu comparisons seem pretty questionable.

[xenia]

I never get flu shots and am very rarely ill. Nothing so far this year or last.

I have no fear of this, and I’m not young. I really don’t understand the panic.

[Finalapproach29er]

Excellent advice. Take Vitamin D.

I also heard lotion on skin after washing provides a little bit better barrier.

It had a ring of truth so I figure its worth doing.

[Solson]

The 3.4% is CURRENT. As more tests come in, the number will come down. The comparisons to the flu are still assinine...and moot.

[RummyChick]

This could have been said of me..until I had asians coughing on me..

Round 1.
Got sick.
Cured it overnight

Now on Round 2 from different incident. Different symptoms
Not as Sick yet.
Not cured.
But feeling somewhat better
No fever which for me would be over about 97

[xenia]

I’m not saying that I wont ever get sick, or I wont get this flu. Perhaps I will.

But I’m not afraid of it. A real ebola pandemic might worry me some, but not this.

[Mathews]

I have no idea about CPAC. This one sentence in the NPR article caught my eye: “This modest number has caused many to wonder what all the excitement was about, and some to question whether the pandemic response was excessive.”

I just thought, wow, here we are literally sealing off entire cities and canceling everything for 31 deaths, but they called over 18K deaths a “modest number” in 2009 - 2010. I really don;t recall a big uproar about the H1N1 then either. Mentions on the news once in a while, but nothing like this.

[confederatecarpetbag]

It’s Y2K all over again.

[higgmeister]

Which means we will ALL LIVE if we get it and we’re under 80 and don’t have another condition, with VERY FEW exceptions.

But let the panicking begin.... :)

Well, I'm a only a sexagenarian even though at the higher end of the range.   I'm overweight, just at the edge of obese, with type 2 diabetes well controlled with pills, diet and exercise only, no injections, well controlled HBP, and high cholesterol. I have some calcified plaque that does not prevent me from doing strenuous cardio exercise five days a week, hoping to flush some of that away along with taking atorvastatin (generic Lipitor).   Also, I've been getting flu shots every season since 1975 with the first one in the USAF.

I'm not afraid in the least of the Coronavirus (COVID-19).   The flu has plagued humanity for several thousand years. You cough, feel sick, some die.   Next year some people will feel pretty silly about the panic and hysteria.

[higgmeister]

Either way you look at it, it's going to be worse than the flu.

Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.

[TheConservativeTejano]

Here in the US, thru March 10th, the daily death rate from COVID-19 has been fairly flat, and definitely not exponential. Do you understand that?

Partner, this respiratory virus will not even get past .5% of the population. Great post BTW.

It will only affect must older people who do not get around too well. It is one of the biggest fake jobs the DemonRat MSM has put on the American populace.

[amorphous]

Yeah, well, that's just, like, your opinion, man.

My correlation is based on the numbers from Trump's "task force immunologist" - not my opinion.

[TheConservativeTejano]

that 10 times figure actually brings the new coronavirus’ fatality rate lower than official estimates, which hover around 3 percent... Which means we will ALL LIVE if we get it and we’re under 80 and don’t have another condition, with VERY FEW exceptions. But let the panicking begin.... :)

Partner, we have never seen such panic put on by the DemonRat journalists. It is a great post.

BTW, you are correct in saying it will affect the folks that are over 80 years of age.

We will not panic since it is getting warm in my area and it is already the middle of March. It is the biggest con job put on the American Populace that we have ever seen.

This is all about getting President Trump out of office since their darling Miss Hillary lost in the 2016 presidential election and they were crying after the election. I doubt this Bud Lite virus will get more than .5% of the U.S. population except where folks are in direct contact with Chicoms from China. Let's see California and Washington states are in direct firing line and we have too many folks affected by this virus in these states.

[higgmeister]

1% of the current US population (331,002,651) = 3,500,000

Your flawed correlation of 1% is applied to the total population of the USA.

The 1% is the mortality figure of those who get the flu which is not the total US population.

I suspect you need to rein it in a little.

It has also been made clear that this venerated Doctor was decorated by President Obama which puts into question his credibility.

[amorphous]

The venerated Doctor's numbers may be flawed, but my correlation isn't - at least not after I corrected the little opsie I made.

"The 1% is the mortality figure of those who get the flu which is not the total US population."

I suspect you need to verify that statement, higgmeister.

[higgmeister]

"The 1% is the mortality figure of those who get the flu which is not the total US population."

I suspect you need to verify that statement, higgmeister.

From the article:

The flu has a mortality rate of about 0.1 percent, so, when considering the likelihood that there are many asymptomatic or very mild cases that have gone undiagnosed, Fauci places the new coronavirus' lethality rate at somewhere around 1 percent.

This clearly referred to the asymptomatic undiagnosed cases associated with the mortality rate. I cannot from this short clip verify that they didn't adjust the supposed mortality rate to our total population. So they get away with the fear mongering again, and you eat it right up.

[USS Alaska]

My apology, Doctor, I’m sorry for my sharp quill.

[Mom MD]

it’s ok. everyone is a bit on edge these days II e done it too