Coronavirus Live Thread. No 13

3/10/2020

[Vermont Lt]

Continuation of the thread.

Please use this thread to consolidate the discussion and stories.

[cgbg]

Thanks for the info. We need to remember to look at the pictures of their deployment and see if the gear is as you described.

[ncalburt]

It is a dismissive weak attitude like we have better things to do .
Spitting out illogical recycled talking points .
They dont understand their actions or in-actions are partly to blame for the stock market swings .
Follow Israel or Spain or Taiwan ban the Italy flights
and get serious.

[cgbg]

Lookner:

Three workers in Port Everglade (Ft. Lauderdale) tested positive—worked for company that greeted cruise passengers.

[LilFarmer]

Preprint: “Our research indicates that, as of 03/01/2020., it is likely that there are already thousands of individuals in the US infected with SARS-CoV-2.”
Today, 12:52 PM
The authors are from Cedars Sinai Hospital in Los Angeles and Peking University in Beijing

Estimating the scale of COVID-19 Epidemic in the United States: Simulations Based on Air Traffic directly from Wuhan, China

Dalin Li, Jun Lv, Gregory Botwin, Jonathan Braun, Weihua Cao, Liming Li, Dermot P.B. McGovern

doi: https://doi.org/10.1101/2020.03.06.20031880

This article is a preprint and has not been peer-reviewed [what does this mean?]. It reports new medical research that has yet to be evaluated and so should not be used to guide clinical practice.
Abstract
Info/History
Metrics
Preview PDF
Abstract

Introduction: Coronavirus Disease 2019 (COVID-19) infection has been characterized by rapid spread and unusually large case clusters. It is important to have an estimate of the current state of COVID-19 epidemic in the U.S. to develop informed public health strategies.

Methods: We estimated the potential scale of the COVID-19 epidemic (as of 03/01/2020) in the U.S. from cases imported directly from Wuhan area. We used simulations based on transmission dynamics parameters estimated from previous studies and air traffic data from Wuhan to the U.S and deliberately built our model based on conservative assumptions. Detection and quarantine of individual COVID-19 cases in the U.S before 03/01/2020 were also taken into account. We. A SEIR model was used to simulate the growth of the number of infected individuals in Wuhan area and in the U.S.

Results: With the most likely model, we estimated that there would be 9,484 infected cases (90%CI 2,054-24,241) as of 03/01/2020 if no intervention procedure had been taken to reduce the transmissibility in unidentified cases. Assuming current preventive procedures have reduced 25% of the transmissibility in unidentified cases, the number of infected cases would be 1,043 (90%CI 107-2,474).

Conclusion: Our research indicates that, as of 03/01/2020., it is likely that there are already thousands of individuals in the US infected with SARS-CoV-2. Our model is dynamic and is available to the research community to further evaluate as the situation becomes clearer.

https://www.medrxiv.org/lookup/doi/10.1101/2020.03.06.20031880

[Vermont Lt]

That must have been hot as hell.

[DEPcom]

Here is the life I use to live. Chemical Biological Radiological & Nuclear Training

You tube video

[Jim Noble]

Every single senior government official, Executive, Legislature, Judicial—should be tested, no exceptions

You'd better do it quick or you are going to have to fly to New Zealand to test them...

[Vermont Lt]

Thanks for posting.

But, Duh?

Not at you....but at the conclusion.

[Persevero]

.

[justa-hairyape]

So we are talking a year then ?

[LilFarmer]

VA

Coronavirus cases reported in Virginia rise to 8
Posted: 1:16 PM, Mar 10, 2020
Updated: 1:39 PM, Mar 10, 2020
By: Vernon Freeman Jr.

LOUDOUN COUNTY, Va. — Virginia health officials have announced three “presumptive positive” cases for the coronavirus disease (COVID-19), bringing the state’s total to eight cases.

Loudoun County has announced Tuesday one resident has tested “presumptive positive.” The case is a resident of Loudoun County who is in their 40s, county officials said.

That resident is believed to have come in contact with someone with COVID-19 while attending Christ Church, Georgetown in Washington, D.C.

https://www.wtvr.com/news/national-news/coronavirus/sixth-coronavirus-case-reported-in-virginia

[nascarnation]

I use the Tyvek suits when painting cars, and you want about an 80F air temp for that, and after about 30mins I’m ready to exit.

[janetjanet998]

Trump, Pence and Pelosi should be tested daily.

they need quarantine a couple of people in the presidential line of succession..

Barr might be the best choice since members of Congress may have been exposed

but lets say Pence gets it,three presidential line of succession are on his panel

[CharleysPride]

“Follow Israel or Spain or Taiwan ban the Italy flights
and get serious.”

Absolutely. If it was so right and bold to stop flights from Wuhan, bring that logic forward.

[Vermont Lt]

Trump is more concerned with telling us how good they are, instead of calming the waters.

I am so disappointed with his response.

Not gonna bail on him..but he sounds like Bush, or Bush....

Cancel flights. Shut down the borders. Test folks coming in the country.

[LilFarmer]

OK

Second Oklahoman tests positive for COVID-19 coronavirus, health officials say
KOCO Updated: 12:24 PM CDT Mar 10, 2020
KOCO Staff

TULSA, Okla. —

A second Oklahoman has tested positive for the COVID-19 coronavirus, according to state health officials.

According to the Oklahoma State Department of Health, the case was also reported in Tulsa County and the patient is a woman in her 20s with travel history to Italy.

https://www.koco.com/article/second-case-of-coronavirus-confirmed-in-oklahoma-health-officials-say/31346260

[janetjanet998]

Steve Lookner
@lookner
·
4m
Update #2: the three workers at Port Everglades in Fort Lauderdale who have the coronavirus work for a company that greets cruise passengers

[janetjanet998]

Bojan Pancevski
@bopanc
·
1m
Doctors in northern Italy say they could soon be forced to decide who will live and who will die, as intensive care units become overwhelmed. #Coronavirus mortality rate in Lombardy is now over 8% - likely higher than Wuhan.

[BobL]

Just got, yet, one more chest freezer. Will be filling it tomorrow. I figure that after that, time’s up! ...for the complete freedom to buy what we want, when we want.

By the way, Costco told us that their meats are selling out like crazy...wonder why?

[LilFarmer]

Third case of COVID-19 confirmed in Wisconsin
13 min ago

The Wisconsin Department of Health Services (DHS) and Public Health Madison and Dane County announced today that a third person has tested positive for COVID-19. The person was exposed while traveling in the United States and is currently isolated at home. County health officials are working to determine the people who have been in contact with the patient to isolate or quarantine people and test those who are exhibiting symptoms.

“We are working with our local health departments to make sure everyone who has been in contact with our confirmed cases is notified. We continue to urge state residents to take precautions to avoid illness,” said State Health Officer Jeanne Ayers. “As guidance is evolving, it’s important for people to monitor the DHS and Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) websites for the latest information and guidance on COVID-19.”

http://www.hngnews.com/milton_courier/article_92dc6c3d-8816-58f4-b0c7-aef510550625.html