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To: narses
“The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1% and 1%,” Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at HHS, says. “That’s lower than you heard probably in many reports ... it’s not likely in the range of 2 to 3%”

So as of 9:03 PM tonight the USA had 547 cases. How soon before that number levels off and what action might be necessary to make that happen?

291 posted on 03/08/2020 8:41:41 PM PDT by teletech
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To: teletech

“The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1% and 1%,” Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at HHS, says. “That’s lower than you heard probably in many reports ... it’s not likely in the range of 2 to 3%”


One would wonder exactly what he based those numbers on. They don’t correlate to any of the studies I’ve come across, but do correlate to some examples of spectacularly bad use of math. Maybe he has access to something we don’t have access to - or maybe he’s just accepting random comments in his environment. One would hope someone in his position has good data at hand. Unfortunately we’ve seen explicit examples of prominent “experts” failing in this regard.


364 posted on 03/08/2020 10:20:37 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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