You could either look at the Chinese numbers for no good reason or you can look at the So. Korean numbers to try to figure out what's really going on.
Your choice.
“The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1% and 1%,” Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at HHS, says. “That’s lower than you heard probably in many reports ... it’s not likely in the range of 2 to 3%”
I do look at the South Korean, Japanese, Italian, French, German and US numbers daily. The best numbers I see in terms infraction growth rate are in Japan and South Korea.
Those two countries have slowed things way down, proving that it can be done. But I see no such progress in most of the western countries including the U.S. What I’m afraid of is that that we are not likely to implement the necessary restriction to match those two countries’ performance.
I really hope I’m wrong but until I see some serious reduction in the infection rates here and abroad I’m going to keep crying wolf.
My advice: Watch the data, ignore anything the Chinese tell us and pretty much anything you hear in the news reports. It is going to be mostly propaganda for one side or the other. The infection rate data will tell you all you need to know. Watch the trends, they will tell the tale.