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Data shows daily coronavirus deaths are decreasing worldwide. Media misleads with cumulative statistics and graphs
Tech Startups ^ | POSTED ON MARCH 8, 2020 | TechStartups Team

Posted on 03/08/2020 6:00:55 PM PDT by narses

With coronavirus death toll in the U.S. rising to 19, people are becoming increasing afraid of contracting the disease. To date, there are 3,803 reported deaths with 109,835 confirmed cases worldwide. Also a total of 60,694 people have recovered from the virus. As the fear of coronavirus continues to spread, there are a growing number of reports of empty shop shelves as people rush to stock up on basic products such as hand soap, sanitizers, tissue papers, and many more. It got so bad that some stores are now limiting purchases of these products, more due to coronavirus fears.

The fears stem from the misleading information coming from mainstream media about the trend of the virus. The media shows the number of fatalities continuously increasing, on a time-based graph. The problem with this is that, the media only uses a cumulative graph to illustrate coronavirus deaths. However, if you look deeper at the raw data provided by John Hopkins on GITHUB, the number of global deaths per day are decreasing worldwide.

Hats off to Evan at TradeGuru, who first noticed the discrepancy in media’s cumulative statistics and created a more accurate chart. According to Evan’s analysis using the raw data provided by John Hopkins University, “the virus is decreasing in hotspots such as South Korea, China and Hong Kong (the first to deal with the novel virus). The press tells us it’s an outbreak, or a pandemic on the precipice. Both situations would suggest exponential growth. The actual data doesn’t suggest exponential growth of fatalities at all. The data suggests decline. In fact, the crude death rate is statistically 0.”

Also, it’s now being estimated that 80% of individuals that contract the coronavirus are asymptomatic or midly-symptomatic. And in this viral video, Rebecca Fraiser says she “never really felt unwell” after contracting the virus, and it “sounds like it is the case for the majority of people.”


TOPICS:
KEYWORDS: coronavirus; covid19; resurrection
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To: InterceptPoint

https://www.thejakartapost.com/news/2020/03/07/indonesias-first-covid-19-patients-recovering-hospital-says.html


321 posted on 03/08/2020 9:01:19 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: RummyChick

Margin is used by speculators. Why do you care?


322 posted on 03/08/2020 9:01:54 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: RummyChick
You can wake up and find you are bankrupt

Which is the fate all day traders deserve. Learn to code.

323 posted on 03/08/2020 9:02:05 PM PDT by central_va (I won't be reconstructed and I do not give a damn....)
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To: SamAdams76
Test or no test, I presume that we would notice if people starting coming down with it on a mass scale.

Add to that, we'd also start having deaths at a massive scale.

I know for the past week, it has been one or two deaths a day, and most of those were in the one nursing home.

324 posted on 03/08/2020 9:03:19 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: DouglasKC

“You asked for it.”

Yep

“I provided it.”

Nope

“You have no answer but insults.”

Laughter. You are funny.


325 posted on 03/08/2020 9:03:38 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: central_va

I dont need to. Been doing this for decades. Dont need to to anything else.


326 posted on 03/08/2020 9:03:48 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: FreeReign

“...and most of those were in the one nursing home.”

One really, really BAD nursing home.


327 posted on 03/08/2020 9:04:30 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: narses

Not sure why you don’t care because the fall out will be massive with ripples effects..even if you cant see it in your little world....but dont really care one way or another whether you see it or not.


328 posted on 03/08/2020 9:05:09 PM PDT by RummyChick
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To: narses
“You asked for it.” Yep “I provided it.” Nope “You have no answer but insults.” Laughter. You are funny.

I get it. You have NO response to the CDC data and warnings I posted. You don't have to keep responding back. It's obvious you've committed to a reality different than every government official on earth including your own government.

329 posted on 03/08/2020 9:06:55 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: griffin

PANIC!

Wash your hands.
Cover your mouth with something other than your hands when you cough or sneeze.
Actually use the disinfectant wipes when you use a cart at a store.
Have a couple of weeks food on hand at home.
Don’t go into the office and infect all of your coworkers if you are sick.
If you can work from home, work from home.

Oh wait, that’s not COVID-19 panic. That’s what everyone should be doing every flu season. The only real addition here, is that the food supply might need to be a few weeks longer, since unlike the flu which burns out in 3-10 days, this takes 3-5 weeks.


330 posted on 03/08/2020 9:07:44 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: DouglasKC

Wrong, droll, funny and wrong.


331 posted on 03/08/2020 9:08:36 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: RummyChick

Really? Again, aside from hyperbole, any real evidence? Or just more goofy PANIC?


332 posted on 03/08/2020 9:09:25 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: little jeremiah

Many more Chinee men died than women.


The figures I’ve seen are about 1.7:1. So quite substantial.


333 posted on 03/08/2020 9:12:17 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: narses
Wrong, droll, funny and wrong.

Here I'll show you something else about the "mild" cases from the CDC:

Recent reports suggest that approximately 80% of COVID-19 patients (of all ages) have experienced mild illness[i]. Managing persons at home who are ill with mild disease can reduce the strain on healthcare systems—however, these patients will need careful triage and monitoring.

So even the "mild" patients need to be monitored at home by medical personnel. The REST the NOT mild, the severe and critical...are about 20% and ALL of them require the services of a hospital ACCORDING TO THE CDC.

The CDC says it's LIKELY that this will overwhelm our health care system.

What exactly do you disagree with the CDC about?

334 posted on 03/08/2020 9:15:28 PM PDT by DouglasKC
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To: Freedom56v2

That we aren’t testing or quarantining


335 posted on 03/08/2020 9:16:41 PM PDT by Nifster (I see puppy dogs in the clouds)
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To: null and void

You use the entire population of the planet as the denominator, DUH!!!


Svartalfiar uses M to mean thousand, as the Roman Numeral. It’s archaic and confusing, but once you know that, his math is essentially correct.

I had the same type of discussion with him a week or two ago.


336 posted on 03/08/2020 9:18:00 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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To: lepton
1:25 minute video at link:

WATCH: "The best estimates now of the overall mortality rate for COVID-19 is somewhere between 0.1% and 1%," Adm. Brett Giroir, assistant secretary for health at HHS, says. "That's lower than you heard probably in many reports ... it's not likely in the range of 2 to 3%" pic.twitter.com/bAvS7LNWI8— NBC News (@NBCNews) March 6, 2020


337 posted on 03/08/2020 9:19:08 PM PDT by little jeremiah (Courage is not simply one of the virtues, but the form of every virtue at the testing point.)
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To: narses
“...and most of those were in the one nursing home.”

One really, really BAD nursing home.

In addition to 13 at the one home, I believe the two in Florida were travelers.

So that leaves a grand total of four "community" deaths that have occurred in this country outside of one bad nursing home.

Yet we have that silly graph posted up thread suggesting a future exponential increase in the number of deaths per day based on the current number of deaths up to this point.

338 posted on 03/08/2020 9:19:28 PM PDT by FreeReign
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To: DouglasKC

Wow, you have a real problem with logic. Get help. Does the FLU cause issues? Sure. Did MERS and SARS? Yep. Your END OF THE WORLD panic extrapolations from data sources that actually REFUTE your panic are amusing. But you need help. I hope you find it.


339 posted on 03/08/2020 9:19:40 PM PDT by narses (Censeo praedatorium gregem esse delendum. (The gay lobby must be destroyed))
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To: Trump Girl Kit Cat

30,000,000 million cases of the flu THIS YEAR,


1) Very few people were aware of that.
2) That number is about 50% above normal.
3) That number is on top of whatever COVID-19 turns out to be.
4) For the COVID, the “elderly” is being defined as 50-year-olds.


340 posted on 03/08/2020 9:23:14 PM PDT by lepton ("It is useless to attempt to reason a man out of a thing he was never reasoned into"--Jonathan Swift)
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