[SeekAndFind]

VARYING MORTALITY RATE FIGURES

One question puzzling disease experts has been Covid-19’s mortality rate, which has seemingly ranged from 2-3% in China up to 10% in Iran, based on official numbers – though given the opaque nature of both countries’ political systems, these figures have been dogged by doubts, with some scientists suggesting that the illness caused by the new coronavirus is actually less deadly than the severe acute respiratory syndrome.

World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus on Tuesday said the global mortality rate from Covid-19 recorded so far was about 3.4%, higher than previous estimates – though this figure was accompanied by caveats that the rate could be lower when more was known about the disease.

Yet in South Korea, where the country’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday reported 6,284 cases and 40 deaths, the mortality rate appears to be hovering around 0.64%.

[Paladin2]

Objective testing is all...

[Buckeye McFrog]

the mortality rate appears to be hovering around 0.64%.

Yes, which is historically high for a flu-type virus. But far below the 4%-5% figures being bandied about on the internet.

[BenLurkin]

Doesn’t it depend on which strain you contract?

[Vigilanteman]

If the mortality rate is 0.64%, then it is like playing Russian Roulette with 156 chambers in the pistol. Or 26 six shooters with only one chambered round.

[ifinnegan]

“in South Korea, where the country’s Centers for Disease Control and Prevention on Friday reported 6,284 cases and 40 deaths, the mortality rate appear”

It’s that or less in Guangdong province in China also.

Guangdong has the second highest number of cases in China and mortality rate is about ten times less than Hubei.

Guangdong is by far the most modern and advanced region of China.

[trebb]

Yep - the rate is somewhere between -.1% and 1.0% - the “fudge factor” is in how many have it and who are not feeling ill, or not ill enough to seek medical aid.
There are probably a minimum of 3 times the reported/verified cases of infection and possibly more than that where the infected aren’t in distress.

The sad thing is that when we start to get better numbers of such “good news cases”, the left will use higher numbers of cases to try to increase the irrational panic...

Must really suck to be a leftists where the best thing that can happen for one’s agenda is for the maximum angst among the People.

[lepton]

World Health Organization Director-General Tedros Adhanom Ghebreyesus on Tuesday said the global mortality rate from Covid-19 recorded so far was about 3.4%,

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And that 3.4% was a completely bogus figure stated to be based upon dividing dead by known spread. It includes neither an estimate of unknown cases, nor the unresolved effects on known cases. Even if the number were to turn out right, it would be by chance, not even by educated guess.

[lepton]

Here is a fair explanation of why a lot of numbers being passed around are not merely incomplete (as all are at the moment), but in error.

https://www.worldometers.info/coronavirus/coronavirus-death-rate/#correct

Cohort studies combined with large-scale random sampling are the way to go so you don’t have to wait until the outbreak is over, but it is only barely getting to be appropriate to do those, as so many cases are unresolved.