[Trump Girl Kit Cat]

ALL of the people who passed were at the same assisted care facility and ALL were in very poor health, I hardly think we should consider this as spreading OR a huge death rate due to the virus!! This would be expected in a facility like this!!!

[EBH]

The question is how did they get it...who was the point of contact?

[cgbg]

Valid point on the death rate.

The problem is that many folks will be carriers, just fine and not show symptoms—and it will eventually reach others who could overload hospital capacity and of course some who will die.

[DEPcom]

I bet it still hurts for the families and love ones.

[scouter]

ALL of the people who passed were at the same assisted care facility and ALL were in very poor health, I hardly think we should consider this as spreading OR a huge death rate due to the virus!! This would be expected in a facility like this!!!

Assuming that's true (and I'm not challenging it), then you're right. But our numbers in the U.S. are way too low at this point for any statistics to have real meaning.

But if you look at the official numbers that include all patients, then the Case Fatality Rate (CFR) currently stands at somewhere between 3.4% and 6.3%, depending on how many of those who still have the disease end up dying.

Compare that to a CFR for seasonal flu of less than 0.1%. The Spanish Flu is estimated to have had a CFR of around 2.5%.

That, folks, along with the obvious ease with which the virus is spreading, and it's obvious ability to overwhelm a health care system, is why this is being taken so seriously. The CFR in a system where the virus is relatively contained will almost certainly be lower than the CFR in an overwhelmed system.

Still, my preparations center more around the supply chain and stock market disruptions than they do around avoiding or surviving the virus.

[Vermont Lt]

You cannot base the six deaths as anything. Why do folks think this is going to be over in a week.

Put your slippers on. Get a cup of tea. Settle in. This story is on episode 1. And it’s a ten part binge.

[Graing]

Quite frankly, your lack of concern for the concern of the resident concern trolls... concerns me. Or something.

Oh, wait - nevermind. Not concerned.

P.S. Obama had 1000 American deaths before he labelled H1N1 an emergency. Over 12,000 Americans died from H1N1 and over 500,000 globally. I don’t remember the serious concern in the media or on this board when the great Obamanator was whistling past the swine flu graveyard.

[Pelham]

Li Wenliang (Chinese: 李文亮; 12 October 1986 – 7 February 2020) was a Chinese ophthalmologist at Wuhan Central Hospital who on 30 December 2019 warned fellow colleagues about a possible outbreak of an illness that resembled severe acute respiratory syndrome (SARS), later acknowledged as COVID-19 on WeChat.

He became a whistleblower when his warnings were later shared publicly. On 3 January 2020, Wuhan police summoned and admonished him for "making false comments on the Internet".

Li returned to work, later contracted the virus from an infected patient and died from the disease on 7 February 2020, aged 33.

[hardspunned]

It sounds as if a round of the regular flu in this facility would have had the same result.