There's not nearly enough data to allow that, but I agree it will probably happen.
This is the week that a worldwide pandemic will be prevented or permitted to happen.
Because prevention involves the end of the global economy and the sacrifice of innocents, and the decisions are being made by politicians, bet on pandemic.
They can and ought to evacuate the ship, but continue quarantine elsewhere.
They got few options and none of 'em good.
It's either contained or the global economy goes down in flames either way.
Dead people don't shop. People afraid to leave the house don't shop. And if those images coming out of China paint a picture, people dropping dead in aisle 10 of the Walmart aren't gonna be very good for business.
If you wanna see panic, let 5 soccer moms in flyover lose a kid to this thing or let 5 kids in the same kindergarten class get it.
But, seeing as none of these people can think past making this quarters earnings calls, I am not optimistic.