Thank you for your comments. I agree with your take on things, and the reference to the cases to present mortality figure as well. My apologies to Lady Heron for being hostile earlier. It’s more important to give out reasoned information than defend something that may be misleading. It was not my intent to do that, but I probably was.
I would suggest you take a look at the figures in this post using that formula.
You’ll note how the rate has changed since the 27th to today, for the better.
I agree with your thoughts on the figures we have been provided. I reference them, because there’s nothing else to reference in the way of documented information.
I hope that you’re right and that the mortality rate is leveling off and even dropping, because this thing is going to hit this country pretty hard before too many more weeks go by. Maybe our standard of care and our preparations to keep the disease contained will result in a much lower rate, but only time will tell.
I have been watching the numbers since last week including a predictive chart started 1/22 that was extraordinarily accurate(well infected rates and deaths were a little over the numbers predicted) until 1/30. I think that is the day the major infected cities in China could no longer keep up with testing. Keep in mind that the bodies they are picking up in apartment complexes have not been tested and are going straight to crematoriums. So I am a little leery of the numbers out of China, especially watching what they have been doing to the ability to get tested. They have shut down leaving your house and have been rejecting patients at hospitals. There was a very brave guy I was following online who was visiting every hospital and trying to stay out of the governments hands and reporting on what he saw and taking pictures. I think that he got caught this afternoon.