Yes, I agree. But more reliable data, especially with the Chinese, may be awhile in coming. In any case, it’s already out.
Interestingly, the “Spanish flu” of 1918 wasn’t Spanish at all. Spain was neutral in WWI, and thus there was no censorship and the newspapers could report on the flu in Spain. Supposedly, the “Spanish flu” actually started in France, at a French military camp, in an area that had the perfect brew for it - pigs and ducks. It then spread to other military camps in French and British controlled territory, and also turned up among the Germans. But censorship for fear of demoralizing or panicking the civilian population prevented it from being reported.
However, one thing rarely mentioned is that France and the other countries had brought in a large number of Chinese laborers to fill the void left by the conscription of their young men. It seems to me that China must be one vast Petri dish.
Southern Chinese peasants live in close proximity to their pigs. Evidently that’s an ideal environment for breeding new strains of viruses. I read once that every year, year after year, the latest flu virus emerges from the farms of southern China.