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Russia’s Population May Drop by 12M in 15 Years
Moscow Times ^ | Dec 28, 2019

Posted on 12/28/2019 8:54:07 AM PST by CondoleezzaProtege

Russia’s population could drop by more than 12 million by 2035, the national statistics office said in its annual forecast published Friday.

Russia’s overall population dropped for the first time in a decade last year, totaling 146.8 million as migration inflows hit record lows. It totaled 146.7 million so far in 2019, the State Statistics Service Rosstat said this month, as Russia experienced its highest natural population decline in 11 years.

Here are the three population scenarios that Rosstat predicted for the next 15 years. In all cases, Russia’s natural population is expected to continue to decline — meaning deaths will continue to outnumber live births.

Optimistic scenario: 150.1 million. Natural population is expected to slow its contraction from nearly 250,000 next year to 21,300 in 2035. Migration is expected to grow from under 340,000 next year to more than 385,000 in 2035.

Baseline scenario: 142.9 million. Natural population is expected to decline by more than 350,000 next year and almost 400,000 in 2035. Migration is expected to drop slightly from almost 265,000 next year to around 264,000 in 2035.

Worst-case scenario: 134.2 million. Natural population is expected to contract by 484,400 next year and near 1 million people by 2035. Migration is expected to drop from almost 191,000 to under 16,000 arrivals in 2035.

All the figures were revised downward from 2018, when Rosstat forecast Russia’s population to grow to 153.2 million under an optimistic scenario, 144 million under a baseline scenario and 138.1 million under the worst-case scenario.

Rosstat will not publish its forecast next year because of the 2020 census, the state-run TASS news agency reports.


TOPICS: Society
KEYWORDS: census; kievrosetroll; neocontroll; population; russia
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1 posted on 12/28/2019 8:54:07 AM PST by CondoleezzaProtege
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To: AdmSmith; AnonymousConservative; Arthur Wildfire! March; Berosus; Bockscar; cardinal4; ColdOne; ...
Russia’s Population May Drop by 12M in 15 Years
Russia’s Population May Will Drop by 12M in 15 Years

2 posted on 12/28/2019 8:57:28 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

We have the same thing in this country but it’s still offset through immigration. I’m concerned about the younger generation because they just don’t seem to want to be burdened with children. I’m talking affluent people for the most part. Because our government rewards unwed women with additional welfare benefits for having children, they are still having children. But chances are, those children will be still in poverty when they reach adulthood and will require taxpayer assistance for the rest of their lives. Many of them will turn to crime. It’s a vicious cycle.


3 posted on 12/28/2019 9:00:00 AM PST by SamAdams76
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To: SunkenCiv

Not near as big as the population drop as in the Stalin years


4 posted on 12/28/2019 9:01:23 AM PST by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's fore sure)
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To: SunkenCiv

Not near as big as the population drop as in the Stalin years


5 posted on 12/28/2019 9:01:34 AM PST by Deaf Smith (When a Texan takes his chances, chances will be taken that's fore sure)
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To: SamAdams76

What they need is lots and lots of Africans.


6 posted on 12/28/2019 9:14:49 AM PST by PGR88
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

How many abortions do they have in Russia each year?


7 posted on 12/28/2019 9:31:30 AM PST by Meatspace
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To: Deaf Smith
Memoriale estimated 40 million victims, but some of those were given a chance at reprieve if they left the gulags and served in WWII, then died in that. Prior to Stalin's takeover, Trotsky bragged that 10 million had been killed.

8 posted on 12/28/2019 9:46:57 AM PST by SunkenCiv (Imagine an imaginary menagerie manager imagining managing an imaginary menagerie.)
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To: SamAdams76

“We have the same thing in this country but it’s still offset through immigration”

Pretty much.
US birth rates fell to their lowest levels in 32 years last year.


9 posted on 12/28/2019 9:48:18 AM PST by SmokingJoe
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

My very handsome, fit and educated 25 year nephew worked in Russia last year setting up a specialized packaging system for a US based firm he works for.

My nephew said his Russian co employees started drinking around 10:00 AM.

Numerous Russian women asked him to marry them while he was there. All the Russian men are drunks, drug addicts or have zero ambition or goals or butt ugly.

He wonders how they are a threat to the world.


10 posted on 12/28/2019 9:48:46 AM PST by setter
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To: setter

I’ve heard this for years. Males are all alcoholics and die young


11 posted on 12/28/2019 10:00:26 AM PST by Truthoverpower (The guv mint you get is the Trump winning express !)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

A land mass nearly twice as big as the US and a population less than half.

Sounds like enormous opportunity.


12 posted on 12/28/2019 10:00:45 AM PST by Mariner (War Criminal #18)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Russia could benefit by resettling the white South Africans in Russia. There’s about 5 million.


13 posted on 12/28/2019 10:03:14 AM PST by captain_dave
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To: setter

“” “” My nephew said his Russian co employees started drinking around 10:00 AM.

Numerous Russian women asked him to marry them while he was there. All the Russian men are drunks, drug addicts or have zero ambition or goals or butt ugly.”” “”

Too many stereotypes combined to be true.


14 posted on 12/28/2019 10:17:28 AM PST by NorseViking
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To: NorseViking

I’ve been living here for 25 years. While a lot of these stereotypes were true back when I first arrived, most are not true today.

I don’t see the alcoholocs like I did back then. The women are still hot looking...

Now, I’m living in the nicer part of the country, so things are good here. Most families have 2-3 kids. Many travel internationally for vacations. Can’t say what life is like in Central Russia or Siberia.


15 posted on 12/28/2019 10:31:51 AM PST by Cowboy Bob ("Other People's Money" = The life blood of Liberalism)
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To: Cowboy Bob

20 years ago I have barely anyone in Russia who aren’t an alcoholic by Western standard. Today you don’t see many people who are drinking any at all. Drinking is obviously out of fashion.


16 posted on 12/28/2019 10:35:21 AM PST by NorseViking
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To: NorseViking

Brim\ng them here. They’ll learn.


17 posted on 12/28/2019 10:55:13 AM PST by DIRTYSECRET (urope. Why do they put up with this.)
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To: setter

Yes indeed. Alcoholism is rampant in Russia and young Russian women and Ukrainian women are desperate to get out of the place. Thousands of beautiful young Russian and Ukrainian women will do just about anything to get out. There is a thriving marriage broker business in both countries and unfortunately almost all of it is a scam. Often if one of these women do find an American or some other Westerner to marry them they immediately try and get their families out too and if they make it to America they drain the guy of his cash, divorce him and take off.
This kind of bs , the “Green Card Lottery’’ and illegal immigration need to be ended. And there needs to be at least a year or two moratorium of legal immigration. We’re not going to have a country left it this keeps up.


18 posted on 12/28/2019 11:25:57 AM PST by jmacusa ("If wisdom is not the Lord, what is wisdom?)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

By all means, don’t let those 4-wife savages in! They’ll breed and overrun the country in no time!


19 posted on 12/28/2019 11:42:22 AM PST by I want the USA back (If free speech is taken away, dumb and silent we are led, like sheep to the slaughter: G Washington)
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To: CondoleezzaProtege

Edward Snowden did his part.


20 posted on 12/28/2019 12:16:13 PM PST by Albion Wilde (It is fatal to enter any war without the will to win it. --Douglas MacArthur)
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