Posted on 12/16/2019 1:25:15 PM PST by Hojczyk
Juan forgets some key things.
1) Obama is LAZY. He has little incentive to walk away from a life of leisure on beaches and golf courses, sucking down beer and cheeseburgers.
2) Obama is NOT necessarily that popular with black voters. I think a lot of them are secretly embarrassed by the fact that his administration was largely a failure.
3) Obama is a sniveling Beta Male which is NOT the sort of thing that resonates with your typical black male voter.
4) Obama does NOT want to be in the spotlight at a time when increasing numbers of questions are going to be asked about his participation in the coup.
Nah. He curls up on a beach someplace and keeps his head down.
Always a crazy. He turned me off FNC many years ago.
“...most racially inflammatory president in living memory,”
He should know that Obama is laying low in order to keep his name out of the impeachment news.
-PJ
Juan Williams is permanently embedded, head-first in the 0bomb’s posterior.
Just like obamy, Juan refuses to see the the large amount of white in him when he looks in the mirror.
So POTUS45's black support could be as high as 40%...
Juan is deep state media.
He does what his massers tell him to do.
...and he likes it.
Yep. That bastards hands are in the cookie jar as well.
The Five is totally scripted. You can see them reading their teleprompters.
He’s not in the crazy’s for questioning folks claiming Trump is going to get 30% of the black vote.. because I hate to break this to you.. that ain’t happening.
Trump will do better in 20, than he did in 16, but he’s not getting 30% of the black vote... hell he’s not get 20% of it.. .He’ll get in the upper range of a typical Republican in 2020.
These people looking at internals of polls and seeing 30% support among blacks polled, don’t remotely understand statistics or polling.
These numbers are broken down by race, as part of a larger poll. The larger poll may ask 1000 people,, but of that 1000 people 60 just happened to be black. Trump getting 20 of them does not mean Trump remotely has 30% support among the black population. The sample size is too small, the margin of error too large.
For Trump to get 20% or more of the black vote would require a TITANIC SHIFT OF THE BLACK ELECTORATE ON THE GROUND.... this would be visible to anyone paying attention, you wouldn’t need a poll to notice it... GOP support among blacks tends in and around 10% in Presidential elections... in 16, Trump got 8%... I expect he will do better in 2020 but he’s not going to get anywhere near 20%.
If Trump were remotely on the brink of pulling 20% of the black vote, the left would be going absolutely ape poop.. .because if the GOP can get 20% of the black vote, no Democrat will ever win the White House again.
You wouldn’t need to see a poll, you would see it on the ground, you would see it in the fear in the democrats eyes...
This ain’t happening folks. I do believe Blacks turnout will almost certainly be down in the 2020 cycle, the clown car of Democrat candidates are not anything that is going to excite them, and Trump will almost certainly outperform his 8% in 2016, but its not going to be 30%.. hell its not going to be 20%... it will be in the 10-12% range most likely. Which is a solid improvement over 16, but its not politically seismic.
Folks need to settle down. Blacks are today, kind of where the blue dog democrats were a while ago. They may not like their party ,but they aren’t going to vote the other way in any major way yet... They will disengage.... For them to come out to vote for the GOP they need to finally come to a full realization their party is not serving them, AND that the other side is giving them a reason to vote for them.
For the average black voter, that is not where they are... Some of them are in the early stages of realizing the Dems may not be serving them. but most are not there, and certainly most are not in a place where they are ready to vote against their traditional party... They will sit out in larger numbers first... and then and only then when someone gives them a strong reason to finally cross the rubicon they will.
That’s not where things are yet... If they were, believe me, you’d be hearing about black vote being in jeopardy from folks on the ground, not from sliced and diced internals of far too small of a sample from polling.
Juan do a bit of research focus especially the stayed home numbers for Blacks in Michigan Pennsylvania North Carolina and Wisconsin. In Detroit alone 50k Blacks did not vote on 2016. That gave Trump Michigan by just 13k. Can you do the math here Juan?
Dog catcher.
Just another Fox reprobate trying to be noticed.
In case Juan the race-baiter has forgotten, Bath House Barry did A LOT of campaigning for Kankles, and he tried to rally blacks one more time in 2016.
He wasn’t able to drag Kankles over the finish line, and he won’t be able to drag any current Rat candidate over the finish line either.
Barry’s time has passed, and he is no longer the novelty Magic Negro. Juan is whistling past the graveyard.
The wildcard in your calculus is that Trump is *not really* a Republican.
You just gotta love the blind pessimistic babble from some people here. Let’s try some facts. The 8 Percent Black support for Trump in 2016. That is a flat out lie! how can I say so? Well for one thing the results don’t cover every State. That means nothing right? we’ll try this Every State that was reported reported exactly the same 8 percent Black Support for Trump. Strange ain’t it? Not a single deviation from Alabama to Alaska to Pennsylvania all the same conincidental right? How about the fact that in Pennsylvania Wisconsin North Carolina and Michigan Blacks stayed home. Naysayers please do you homework before spouting off.
Juan is probably right. Of all “groups” polled, they usually vote close to their percentage in a poll. Blacks never do, it’s always much lower.
Yes, he’s telling obunghole to get out and play the race card!
It's an election year in Kenya? Who knew?
Disclaimer: Opinions posted on Free Republic are those of the individual posters and do not necessarily represent the opinion of Free Republic or its management. All materials posted herein are protected by copyright law and the exemption for fair use of copyrighted works.