It seems like that whole arc, from Threat Vector to Bear/Dragon is playing out (with changes, of course) right now.
And, why I keep an eye on Q for oddities (to my mind). Some stuff has been so close to Clancy that the idea of a LARP [having us follow the Clancy arc?] comes to my mind. Other times, Clancy verifies what Q tells us, such as “Seven Dwarfs” and “5:5” terms.
My theory is that Mr. Clancy had access to documentation or access to NIOs who dream up scenarios for national or international intelligence war gaming. The only think troublesome I find is the way he sugarcoats the CIA.