Posted on 11/01/2018 12:13:29 PM PDT by KavMan
GOP Strategist Dan Perrin model predicts Republicans keep House, Senate
Predicts Democrats pick up 6 to 11 House Seats
(Excerpt) Read more at youtube.com ...
Mirror image of Pelosi prediction.
Senate 6+ and depending on some breaks could get up to double Digits in the Senate.
House, the GOP will hold solidly.... If the things break just right could gain seats.
bfl
Hopefully, Mr. Perrin doesn’t scribble on a wipe-board, like Karl Rowe.
what the heck does that mean?
Nice
House- Dems pick up 15. Senate could be a 7 seat pickup.
So what - many of us here predicted this months ago, but this guys an expert. Queue Beethoven nobody knows, nobody knows.
Right on que the ‘real’ polling data is starting to roll in....
While I appreciate his optimism, I don’t believe there is any data to support it.
IF Republicans hold the House it will be a miracle, and by just a few seats.
Or Trump's magic wand.
I just went through every stinkin’ house seat and did a spread sheet. I came up with 225 (R) to 210 (D). I say we hold the house by 5 - 10 seats.
Yes, it took me most of the day. And, I was pretty fair with the toss ups. Pray we have a good night !
That’s pretty much what I got
“I just went through every stinkin’ house seat and did a spread sheet.”
Does McCann have a chance in my NJ 5th district? Haven’t seen much polling data, would be a flip to the Republicans.
What does he have to lose? If he’s wrong, everyone will forget him. If he’s right, he’s the guy who, against the odds, predicted that the GOP will hold the House.
The early voting looks good, but the problem is we are behind or very close to behind in a LOT of otherwise GOP House districts if you believe polls.
Polls are based on estimate of turnout. If turnout differs to a significant degree then the results can be radically different then the polls.
Do the polls show that Republicans are +3 in early voting this year vs -3 in 2016 ? That is significant if polls have the standard model of Democrat +9 as we have been told.
It really is predictable.
But how can any poll be accurate when n
Most on our side refuse to talk to pollsters.
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