[SpeedyInTexas]

Tossup District and comments:

CA10 – Dem ahead in latest poll. Limited polling. (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

CA25 – Mixed polling. True tossup. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

CA39 – Mixed polling, but Republican leading in 538 analysis. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

CA45 – Mixed polling, Dem seems slightly ahead. (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

CA48 – True tossup. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

FL26 – Mixed polling. Republican ahead in non-partisan poll. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

FL27 - Rep ahead in latest polling. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

IA3 – Mixed polling, but one poll had Republican up by 16. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

IL6 – Non-partisan polls have Republican ahead. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

IL12 – Republican slightly ahead in last 5 polls. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

KS2 – True tossup. Cook PVI is R+10 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

KS3 – Dem ahead in 3 out of last 4 polls. Don’t think Yoder will make it (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

KY6 – Lots of polling, mixed results. Cook PVI is R+9 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

ME2 – Republican ahead in latest poll (predicting REPUBLICAN)

MI8 – Most polling has Republican slightly ahead (predicting REPUBLICAN)

MN1 – Limited polling, but a partisan poll has Republican ahead by 14 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

MN8 – Limited polling. 538 analysis says Republican wins (predicting REPUBLICAN)

NC9 – Mixed polling but Cook PVI is R+8 (predicting REPUBILCAN)

NJ3 – Mixed polling (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

NJ7 – Mixed polling (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

NJ11 – Dem ahead in polling (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

NM2 – Republican ahead in most polling (predicting REPUBLICAN)

NY19 – Mixed polling. Tossup. (predicting REPUBLICAN)

NY22 – Dem ahead in polling (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

PA1 – Republican ahead in polling (predicting REPUBLICAN)

PA7 – Dem ahead in polling (predicting DEMOCRATIC)

TX7 – Not worried about it (predicting REPUBLICAN)

TX32 – Not worried about it (predicting REPUBLICAN)

UT4 – Republican ahead in 9 straight polls (predicting REPUBLICAN)

VA5 – No polls released. Cook PVI is R+6 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

VA7 – Mixed polling. Cook PVI is R+6 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

WA8 – Lastest poll has Republican up by 10 (predicting REPUBLICAN)

[SpeedyInTexas]

My prediction for next House: Democrats 212 and Republicans 223.

[arrogantsob]

All these polls were before the Kavanaugh crucifixion.

That is going to make a huge difference.

[SMGFan]

NJ2 Dem definitely?

[Repeal 16-17]

ALL polls are illegitimate; too many Republicans not contacted or refuse to answer. These same polls had the Wicked Witch easily winning. The only polls that matter will take be released on November 6.

[SMGFan]

DEmocrats gain +4 leaving only Repub Chris Smith ?

bigger Dem gain in Cal?

[Fai Mao]

If your prediction holds expect Liberals to go terminally ballistic. If there is no Blue wave and they take neither the House or the Senate there will be riots.

[Ravi]

From your lips...

[familyop]

Thanks! It’s nice to see something more encouraging than this.

2018 Midterm Power Rankings
https://www.foxnews.com/midterms-2018#

[centurion316]

I agree with your assessment and your prediction, with possible exceptions for the two districts in MN, they are more likely to go D. We can certainly retain control of the House, but we can’t afford to make any mistakes along the way.

[mac_truck]

Good analysis...bump!

[dangus]

Reasonable predictions, but you mischaracterize seats that RealClearPolitics call “leaning” as “safe.”

[Political Junkie Too]

It's too bad that Elizabeth Heng isn't doing better in CA-16, Jim Robinson's district.

-PJ

[gogeo]

I can live with that.

[thirdgradeteacher]

Nice analysis. I hope you are right.

[JPJones]

I don’t think the pubbies are going to lose many seats at all. May even gain one or two.

This whole thing is swinging the republican way.

[dowcaet]

I think the Democrats shot themselves in the foot with the Kavanaugh fiasco because they exposed their true radical nature to the American people. I think the GOP will gain between five to ten House seats and have a huge night with +6 or better in the Senate. Strictly my prediction of course.

[Fla.Deporable]

Anyone here from tampa-st.pete? If so, thoughts on charlie crist being defeated?

[Scooter100]

Pundits can't predict a damn thing.

The big unknown factor is the level of voter fraud this time around. The Dems are barking mad. When you are unhinged, you'll do anything. Fraud could be huge this time.

In summary, could be a red or a blue wave. NOBODY knows, and especially NOT the polls.

[joma89]

RealClearPolitics clearly uses the demo_ratic model of polling. Look what has happened since September 18th. The number of toss ups has steadily moved to the Republicans. This is after many months of demo_rat seats going up from the toss up column. And we even now have the first reduction of demo_rat seat to toss up on October 4th. Expect to see more of these.

Why is this the case? It is information warfare, folks. These types of web sites want to convince people the demo_rats will win to either have folks not vote for the Republicans or motivate the demo_rat base.

JoMa

[Kenny Bania]

House: R 220 D 215
Senate: R 52 D 48