Posted on 08/30/2018 9:39:52 AM PDT by Signalman
Mclaughlin & Asscociates Poll likely voters for August 2018 generic ballot, US Congress, shows Dem: 44 GOP: 44
This poll was published yesterday, 8/29/2018.
See link for chart.
It’s a poll that means nothing. We vote district by district.
I encourage Dems to get ANGRIER and MORE STRIDENT as their lead in the generic ballot slips. The problem is clearly that people aren’t hearing the message. Make yourselves heard above the noise!
I don’t see the polling info. I wonder if this is “Registered Voters” or “Random People”.
The chart is the 10th one down at the link.
It’s LIKELY voters.
No blue wave.
For a Blue Wave the Democrats need a 10pt lead on the poll.
Conservatives are more spread out across ALL districts, and fired up for Trump !!!
I'm feeling good we'll hold the house.
Not true that it’s meaningless. That’s like saying stock market trends are meaningless to certain individual stock values. The generic ballot trends are moving away from the communists, so that is a good overall indicator.
Do you hear the rumble? Red Wave!
“Not true that it’s meaningless. That’s like saying stock market trends are meaningless to certain individual stock values. The generic ballot trends are moving away from the communists, so that is a good overall indicator.”
It certainly is.
Course, Reuters/Ipsos felt compelled to come out with a poll that had dems up 13. lol.
The media fools are so obvious.
Thanks...missed that.
If this is all they will admit to GOP is probably up by 10.
The generic polls have been done for many decades and are a guide. If the polls are tied, the repubs should keep the House. If the repubs are behind by more than 4 or 5 points, the repubs will probably lose the House.
Exactly, I don’t get folks obsession with generic ballot polling for congress its MEANINGLESS..
It doesn’t matter if the country is 50/50 split or even 60/40 split... its has no baring on anything.
If I have 4 districts and all have the same number of likely voters in them... but 1 district is 100% democrat. 2 districts are 70% republican and 1 district is 60% republican... and I polled across them equally for a total number count and the all voted straight party I would get a poll that says they are 50-50 split.... But come election day Republicans would win 3 out of the 4 districts handily.
They should poll people and ask them if you are likely to vote (in district x). Then look at the percentage of voters to adults in district x. The difference between the two is the number who lie to pollsters!
I can look today at my home state of Alabama. Seven representatives. One single district is designed to be overwhelmingly Democrat....so it’s an accepted thing. The other six are designed to be just a minimum of 55 percent GOP. There’s just zero chance you can beat the other six guys unless one of them had some huge affair with a traveling circus clown. I think the same is true with both Tenn and Kentucky. Nothing is flipping throughout the south (except perhaps one district in Florida) as far as I can see. The rest might be a question mark.
Is part of this generic polling, because they don’t do.polls in each if the 435 Congressional districts?
It would be good to see polls in swing districts. No need to poll Maxine Waters district for example.
There are about 80 districts out of 435 which are thought to be competitive between the two parties.
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