Experts now predict a 'below-average' 2018 hurricane season

https://www.nola.com/ ^ | 7/2/18 | Laura McKnight

[BBell]

Experts are now forecasting a "below-average" Atlantic hurricane season based on unusually cold temperatures in portions of the Atlantic Ocean, according to updated projections released Monday (June 2) by Colorado State University.

The new predictions call for a total of 11 named storms to develop this season, a drop from the original prediction of 14. The 11 storms include Subtropical Storm Alberto, the one named storm that has already occurred this season.

Of those 11 storms, four are expected to become hurricanes, including one major hurricane. The original forecast, released in April, included seven hurricanes, three of them major hurricanes. In late May, experts adjusted those expectations to six hurricanes, two of them major hurricanes, classified as Category 3 and above.

The adjusted storm outlook was released by Colorado State University's Department of Atmospheric Science and researchers for its Tropical Meteorology Project, considered among the top experts in the field.

The report, authored by Philip J. Klotzbach and Michael M. Bell, attributes the decrease in expected storms to temperatures that are "much colder than normal" in tropical and subtropical parts of the Atlantic Ocean.

Colder water in the tropical Atlantic provides less fuel for developing storms, experts said in the Monday predictions. The cold conditions also tend to coincide with higher pressure, drier air and "a more stable atmosphere," forecasters said. Drier and more stable air suppresses the formation of deep thunderstorms, which function as the building blocks of hurricanes.

The development of a weak El Nino at the height of hurricane season would also curtail storms, forecasters said.

[BBell]

well we did get some nice storms on the north shore. It came in at the proper angle to hit us.

Nash Roberts they ain't.

[justa-hairyape]

West Texas has been having Florida weather lately. 98 degrees with humidity is tough. Very weird northly flow patterns. Straight north.

[Trillian]

lolol

[Jane Long]

LOL....sounds like Houston weather.

Are you in Canutillo?

[rodguy911]

Fewer storms would be great down here. Massive,construction still goes on Keys wide from the last one and probably won’t end any time soon. In Islamorada almost a year later we still only have half of our hotel/motel rooms available. Few understand the damage a big storm can do.

[rodguy911]

THe problem with leftists is that once that get a major chatting point it’s hard to get them to stop. Even when it’s all too obvious they are blatantly lying.Evidently, lying is totally accepted in leftwardleaningland if the cause is to get rid of us.

[rodguy911]

The last of the great late night hosts.

[BBell]

Having lived through Katrina and the aftermath and still living in the same spot I agree. A lot of folks do not understand.

[rodguy911]

I've been around South Fla. since the late 40’s. Haven't missed many hurricanes since including
Andrew.During the cleanup after Andrew my wife was a hostess at a local restaurant in the keys. Every day she told of hurricane workers who dug up body after body from the storm.Few were reported,including the freezer tractor trailer loads of migrants bussed out of South Dade.It took years to reclassify Andrew as a five. We have a govt. that stopped telling the truth years ago.
MAGA we are lucky to have Trump.

[upchuck]

Agree 100%.